Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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467
FXUS64 KOUN 171123
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
525 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

.AVIAITON...
VFR conditions today will give way to the development of MFVR and
perhaps IFR conditions late tonight as moisture pools northward into
the area. Have introduced both low clouds and fog at all sites
except GAG/WWR after 9Z.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 AM CST Fri Feb 17 2017/

.DISCUSSION...
Main concerns will continue to be with regards to storm system early
next week and its impacts.

For today, most locations will be a few degrees warmer the yesterday
as south/southwesterly low level flow cont. Otherwise, will watch
approaching closed low, currently over southwest Texas. This low
will initially not have a lot of moisture to work with, but could
produce some mid/high clouds across the area today. As we go through
tonight into early Saturday, sufficient low level moisture will
return that we could see some patchy drizzle or even a few showers
across portions of central into southern/southeastern Oklahoma. This
is already well represented in the grids and will maintain.

This low will shift east of the area by late Saturday with a much
stronger storm system approaching the southern Plains by Sunday.
Expect to see some activity as early as Sunday morning across
southwest part of Oklahoma and western north Texas. Showers and
thunderstorms expected to become widespread by late Sunday into
Monday, providing another much needed rain event. As far as severe
weather, instability will be rather limited with this system and
severe storms appear unlikely.

This storm then looks to develop a closed low just to our east and
southeast, but should be far enough removed to keep any lingering
precip just to our east. Another warm, dry period into the middle of
the week before another storm system moves into the plains by late
in the week with perhaps another chance of rain and thunderstorms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  49  67  50 /   0   0  10   0
Hobart OK         69  46  68  47 /   0   0  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  72  50  72  51 /   0   0  10   0
Gage OK           71  40  71  45 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     71  47  68  50 /   0   0  10   0
Durant OK         70  53  68  53 /  10  10  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/30



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