Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 231119
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
620 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.AVIATION...
Light south winds will increase some through the morning with gusts
around 20kts across western sites. A few mid/high clouds will drift
south into the area this afternoon and evening, otherwise VFR
conditions will continue.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016/

.DISCUSSION...
Another hot day on tap across Oklahoma and western north
Texas. Although we continue to slowly bake out the low level
moisture, still expect to see afternoon heat indices rise near or
slightly above 105 degrees with actual air temps only a few
degrees below these readings. This will occur again on Sunday
across much of the same area. Will go ahead and extend the heat
advisory through the day Sunday.

Will see a surface front approach northern Oklahoma late Sunday.
This will bring a chance of rain to northwest Oklahoma. Another
area to watch will be across parts of southeast into south central
Oklahoma beginning late Sunday night into Monday and Tuesday. A
small upper level low will move westward across the area, perhaps
bringing a chance of rain to that part of the state.

Otherwise, models continue to show the upper ridge weakening
as several shortwave troughs move through the central and
northern parts of the country. As these waves move east they will
push surface fronts southward toward the Southern Plains. This
will provide some opportunities for precip across parts of the
area. Slightly better chance may occur by the second half of the
upcoming week as ECMWF develops better mid-level flow farther
south.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 101  77 100  77 /   0   0   0  10
Hobart OK        103  76 103  77 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX 103  78 102  78 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK          102  75 102  75 /   0   0  10  20
Ponca City OK    102  78 101  78 /   0   0   0  20
Durant OK        101  79  99  78 /  10   0  20  10

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday for OKZ005>008-011>013-
     017>020-024>032-039>043-045>048-050>052.

TX...None.
&&

$$

23/30



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