Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 151010
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
410 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION YESTERDAY IS NOW CENTERED OVER KANSAS.
ITS CIRCULATION IS QUITE EVIDENT ON SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST...LEAVING BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS IN
ITS WAKE. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS WILL COVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO THE KANSAS BORDER.

COOLER WEATHER WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEK. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED
UNTIL WEDNESDAY...WHEN THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS.

MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO RETURN NORTHWARD ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS...AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES BY AFTERNOON. THE
HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF OKLAHOMA.

AFTER WEDNESDAY...MODEL FORECASTS REMAIN DIVERGENT FROM EACH
OTHER. THIS LOWERS CONFIDENCE IN THE LAST FEW DAYS OF THE
FORECAST. IN ANY CASE...THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT...AND THE RAIN MAY BE MIXED WITH SNOW FRIDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY NORTH OF I-40. THE WEEKEND LOOKS DRY AT THIS
POINT...BUT AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THIS IS BASED ON A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  52  32  46  32 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         54  30  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  58  34  51  37 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           49  26  46  29 /   0   0   0  10
PONCA CITY OK     49  30  43  28 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         58  36  49  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

03/23


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