Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 070857
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
257 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO NW KS EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ENTER NW OK NEAR SUNRISE AND
CENTRAL OK BY LUNCHTIME. NW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 20
MPH BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THEY WILL ONLY DECREASE A BIT
AFTER SUNSET DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE. THEN, BY
LATE MONDAY MORNING AS MIXING COMMENCES, SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15
TO 20 MPH WILL DEVELOP AND INCREASE TO AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. RIGHT NOW, IT APPEARS A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE
NEEDED MONDAY BASED ON THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND MEAN FLOW THROUGH
THE MIXED LAYER. WIND SPEEDS WILL FINALLY DECREASE BY TUE AM AS A
SFC HIGH MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. HIGH TEMPS ON MONDAY WILL
DROP INTO THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S FROM NE TO SW RESPECTIVELY.

NORTHERLY SFC FLOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MID DAY WED AND
THEN BECOME S/SE BY THU AM AS SFC LOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF A SUBTLE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING ACROSS THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND CENTRAL
PLAINS. A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE, BUT IT`S
UNCLEAR HOW MUCH CAA WILL ACTUALLY OCCUR. OVERALL, A DRY AND
BREEZY FORECAST IS STILL ANTICIPATED FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  59  29  50  29 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         59  29  53  29 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  62  32  56  30 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           55  26  49  26 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     56  29  46  26 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         61  35  51  32 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/03


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