Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 171738
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1138 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Aviation discussion for the 18 UTC TAFs is below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Conditions will slowly worsen after 23 UTC.

Have a high confidence of VFR conditions at all locations
before 23 UTC. Iso-num -SHRA will affect the area after 23 UTC,
moving south to north, especially in southern Oklahoma and
western north Texas. VFR conditions are mainly expected with
-SHRA, though brief MVFR may be possible. TS may be possible
as well, but did not mention due to very low confidence of
occurrence.

Widespread MVFR conditions and some patches of IFR conditions may
affect locations south of KCSM-KOKC after 06 UTC. Only added MVFR
conditions at KSPS and KLAW after 12 and 16 UTC respectively where
confidence of occurrence is moderate. Confidence of IFR conditions
occurring remains too low to mention.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1112 AM CST Tue Jan 17 2017/

UPDATE...
Minor adjustments made to Sky and temps. See discussion below.

DISCUSSION...
Stratus will continue to linger across the east and southeast
through early this afternoon. Temperatures are remaining in the
low 40s under it so adjusted temps down a few degrees there near
Ada and Atoka. Increased cloud cover as well. Still expect cloud
cover to slowly increase over the southern FA late this afternoon
and evening, along with rain chances. Showers and isolated
lightning are already being observed along/south of I-20 just west
of Abilene. All updated products will be sent shortly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  50  37  53  40 /   0  60  10  10
Hobart OK         50  38  54  38 /   0  60  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  52  41  55  40 /  20  80  10  10
Gage OK           48  33  56  35 /   0  20  10   0
Ponca City OK     48  33  52  37 /   0  20  10  10
Durant OK         54  43  52  43 /  20  80  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

03/17/17



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