Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 162336
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
626 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2014

.AVIATION...
16/00Z TAFS...WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS WHICH DEVELOPED NEAR
WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY IN NRN OK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF THE PD BEFORE DSPTG LATER THIS EVENING. WILL LIMIT MENTION
TO CENTRAL/NRN SITES. OTRW...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 221 PM CDT SAT AUG 16 2014/

.DISCUSSION...
ALTHOUGH MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY... THERE WILL BE AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR A FEW LOCATIONS TO SEE SOME LIGHT RAIN OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

FOR TONIGHT... A WEAK MCV OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA WILL MOVE EAST
AND COULD INTERACT WITH INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE...
RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SHOWER/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. HAVE INCREASED POPS IN THAT AREA
FOR THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE COULD SEE A FEW AFTN/EVENING
SHOWER/STORMS SUNDAY AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE WITH SUFFICIENT LIFT FROM VERY MINOR WAVES
EMBEDDED WITHIN A WEAKNESS IN MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO PRODUCE PRECIP.
AGAIN... MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH HOT AFTNS AND WARM
NIGHTS. THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN CONDITIONS APPROACHING HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA... BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES AT THIS
TIME.

AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK WE SEE RIDGING BUILD WEST AND
NORTHWEST OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MINIMIZING PRECIP CHANCES AND
KEEPING TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  97  73 100 /  20  20  10  20
HOBART OK         72 100  71 102 /  20  20  10  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  98  74 101 /  20  20  10  20
GAGE OK           71  99  70 101 /  10  20  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     71  94  71  99 /  20  20  10  20
DURANT OK         76  97  73  98 /  30  20  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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