Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 160258 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
958 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.UPDATE...
EXPANDED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH NORTH AND EAST FOR
WEDNESDAY. MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO WINDS AND SKY
COVER TONIGHT. LOWERED DEWPOINTS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
DRY...BREEZY...AND NOT AS COOL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
TONIGHT. DRY AND BREEZY TO WINDY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED
ON WEDNESDAY.

THINK LOWS WILL BE A BIT TOO WARM TONIGHT TO SUPPORT FROST
FORMATION ACROSS THE AREA...INCLUDING SHELTERED AREAS NEAR
DURANT...ATOKA...AND COALGATE.

LATEST RAP13/NAM12 SEEMS TO BE DEPICTING LOWER HUMIDITY
AND STRONGER WINDS FOR WEDNESDAY. CURRENT DEWPOINTS SEEM TO BE
LOWER THAN MODEL GUIDANCE. THUS ADJUSTED THE FORECAST. WINDS MAY
BE NEAR WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA 10 AM TO 5 PM FROM LAWTON TO
OKLAHOMA CITY TO PONCA CITY WITH SEVERAL GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH
POSSIBLE. WAS NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY.

MBS

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
BASED ON STRONGER WINDS AND LOWER HUMIDITY FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY...EXPANDED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. ADJUSTED THE
WATCH PRODUCT ACCORDINGLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 614 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
0Z TAF DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD WITH HIGH CLOUDS MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 244 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
STRONGER WINDS AND AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS WILL HELP
KEEP TEMPERATURES WARMER TONIGHT. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS WILL
CERTAINLY ADD A CHILL TO THE AIR.

WARMER TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
ELEVATE THE RISK OF WILDFIRES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  WILL ADD
A FEW MORE COUNTIES TO THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A COLD FRONT AND TROUGH WILL BRING A DECENT CHANCE FOR RAIN
THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FA.
MUCH COOLER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE FA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA.

RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AS A TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  41  70  47  59 /   0   0  10  60
HOBART OK         40  72  51  56 /   0   0  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  41  71  52  61 /   0   0  10  30
GAGE OK           42  74  46  55 /   0   0  20  60
PONCA CITY OK     41  71  45  58 /   0   0  10  70
DURANT OK         39  67  47  64 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR OKZ007-008-011>019-021>024-033>038-044.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR TXZ083>089.

&&

$$

17/25


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