Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 162309
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
509 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2014

.AVIATION...
0Z TAFS... VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN WED MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WED AFTN WITH
MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS BEING KOKC/KOUN/KLAW/KSPS AND POINTS
SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER... THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED
ENOUGH THAT WILL LEAVE A MENTION OUT OF TAFS FOR NOW.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 PM CST TUE DEC 16 2014/

DISCUSSION...
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WILL BEGIN POURING INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT. WITH SOME ISENTROPIC LIFT AND AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW.
SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER
SYSTEM MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE AREA. KEPT A MENTION OF SNOW ACROSS
NORTHERN COUNTIES OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT CONFIDENCE IN
ANY FROZEN PRECIP IS LOW. RAIN AND DRIZZLE ARE MORE LIKELY.

THE MAIN TROUGH APPROACHES FRIDAY...BRINGING RAIN CHANCES TO
SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A DRIER
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...KEEPING THE MOISTURE FARTHER SOUTH. BROUGHT
POPS DOWN ACCORDINGLY.

BY THE WEEKEND...ANY PRECIP SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA. MODELS ARE
STARTING TO COME INTO BETTER ALIGNMENT...SHOWING ANOTHER TROUGH
COMING THROUGH MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THOUGH...AS OF YET...THIS
SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE DRY.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SEASONABLY COOL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD...WITH A GRADUAL WARM UP IN THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

MAD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  32  42  37  48 /   0  50  50  30
HOBART OK         34  42  36  48 /  10  50  30  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  37  44  40  55 /   0  60  30  10
GAGE OK           31  43  33  43 /   0  30  30  20
PONCA CITY OK     28  40  33  42 /   0  40  60  30
DURANT OK         33  44  39  52 /   0  70  70  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/25/25



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