Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

912
FXUS64 KOUN 281723
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1223 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFs - Primarily VFR conditions expected throughout the TAF
period. Isolated to scattered storms will be possible later this
afternoon and evening across portions of the area. The most likely
sites to be affected would be KHBR, KLAW, and KSPS, but chances
are too low for mention in TAFs. If storms develop near/over TAF
sites, strong variable winds will be possible.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 631 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017/

AVIATION...
28/12Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected to prevail although MVFR
cigs are likely around KPNC this morning. Scattered showers likely
to persist but stay light mainly from near KGAG to KOKC. Will
keep mention of PROB30 TSRA across western Oklahoma terminals this
evening. Winds will remain light ne-ely.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 331 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Band of showers, with the chance for a few weak storms, expected
to continue primarily over northwest into north-central Oklahoma
this morning. High-res models would suggest this activity will
work its way into central Oklahoma /OKC metro/ as mid-level
moisture plume shifts slightly southward. With destabilization
later today, scattered thunderstorms will once again be possible
primarily near and just north of frontal boundary that continues
to sink slowly south. Highest chances this afternoon into evening
will extend from west-central Oklahoma, southeastward toward the
Red River Valley of southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. Strong
and possibly damaging wind gusts cannot be ruled out with the
stronger storms late today.

Through the forecast period, highest rain chances will remain over
far western Oklahoma and adjacent parts of northern Texas due to
proximity of daily High Plains convection. With developing
meridional flow, most of the rain activity next several days will
stay to our west. Most models are similar in depicting MCS
potential each late night and morning from Sunday through at
least Tuesday which will allow chances for showers and storms to
extend farther south and east over a large part of the CWA.

Will still be a hot and muggy day across far southern Oklahoma and
western north Texas, but deep northerly flow and lower dewpoints
will help take the edge off of the recent heat over the weekend
into next week. Some guidance keeps temperatures in the 70s early
next week with early day rain and persistent cloud cover. We did
not go that far, but widespread 80s appear likely for the first
half of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  91  71  91  69 /  40  10  10   0
Hobart OK         95  73  94  71 /  30  30  20  10
Wichita Falls TX 100  75  95  72 /  10  30  30  10
Gage OK           90  67  91  66 /  60  30  30  30
Ponca City OK     89  67  89  65 /  20  10  10   0
Durant OK         97  74  92  70 /  30  30  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/25/25



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.