Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 222334 AAA
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
534 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

.AVIATION...
23/00Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected to prevail. Will mention
TEMPO MVFR fog at KPNC 10Z-14Z with light wind, clear skies, and
wet ground. Winds will become light first few hours of forecast
and increase from the south toward and after 18Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 211 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The wind advisory for southern OK and adjacent parts of Texas will
expire later this afternoon. Gusty northwest winds are expected to
subside around sunset. Light winds overnight turn south tomorrow
in western Oklahoma ahead of the next upper storm for Tuesday.
This upper low is expected to pass well to the north of OK, but
strong mid-level winds may cause sufficient mixing for wind
advisory criteria Tuesday afternoon. Models indicate minimum
relative humidities in the lower and middle 30 percent range;
however, this patterns almost always result in warmer and drier
than model forecasts. Temperatures have been adjusted
accordingly for Tuesday giving minimum RH in the 15 to 25% range.
Although the strongest mid-level winds are expected to be east of
the area by the afternoon, winds still may be sufficient for
critical wildfire potential. A Fire Weather Watch may become
necessary in the subsequent forecast evaluation. A front passes
later Tuesday and brings a seasonably cool and dry airmass across
from Colorado and Wyoming for the rest of the week. No
precipitation is expected over the next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  33  62  41  70 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         32  65  40  68 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  35  67  43  73 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           27  68  40  59 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     29  59  39  67 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         37  62  44  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

23/11


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