Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 162132
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
332 PM CST Thu Nov 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Increasing low-level moisture from the south/southeast overnight
will bring widespread cloudiness, a few light showers (or
drizzle), and possibly some patches of advection fog to most of
our forecast area...except the far west. A deep surface cyclone
will develop/move into Kansas tomorrow, and this will cause
surface winds to switch to more southwesterly, which will in turn
result in relatively dry, breezy, and warm (hot in the far
southwest) conditions. In far northwest Oklahoma, conditions may
reach Red Flag Warning levels for a short time in the afternoon,
but the probability of this is too low at this point to warrant a
watch or warning. We will need to continue to evaluate this
situation as newer and more-detailed forecasts become available
tonight and tomorrow morning.

A cold front will sweep southeast across Oklahoma and north Texas
late Friday night into Saturday morning. It will bring strong
north winds and significantly cooler weather. The wildfire risk
will remain rather high until the winds subside in the evening.

High pressure will result in mainly clear skies and cool weather
into Tuesday, when a surface low is forecast to form near the Red
River. Rain chances with that system will be quite low, as the
main forcing and moisture will remain over eastern Texas.

Benign weather will follow for the rest of the week, although a
strong cold front may arrive Friday or Saturday (beyond the range
of this forecast).

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  56  78  51  58 /  10  10   0   0
Hobart OK         56  82  51  59 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  60  83  56  61 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           51  85  46  55 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     56  76  48  56 /  20  20   0   0
Durant OK         60  77  60  62 /  30  20  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/23



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