Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 291253
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
753 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL APPLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT FROM THE S AND SE TO AROUND 10 KT. SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLEAR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2014/

DISCUSSION...
TEMPS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE 30S AND 40S EARLY THIS MORNING UNDER A
SFC HIGH. SOME PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NW WHERE
SOME DEWPOINTS HAVE ALREADY DROPPED BELOW 32 AND VERY LIGHT WINDS
ARE PRESENT. LATER TODAY...THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY BECOME S AND SE
A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS.

BY LATE TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY...A STOUT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS A DEEP UPPER TROUGH DIGS OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS. WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER TEMPS SATURDAY MORNING TO
NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING FOR OUR CENTRAL AND NE/E ZONES AS A ~1032
MB SFC HIGH SLIDES OVER THE MIDWEST WITH LOW 20S TO PERHAPS UPPER
TEEN DEWPOINTS ACCOMPANYING IT. HAVE ALSO INCLUDED AREAS OF FROST
HERE.

THE PATTERN WILL BECOME ACTIVE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A NORTH PAC LOW
MOVES INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST SUNDAY MORNING. THE GFS AND
ECMWF ARE SURPRISINGLY SIMILAR WITH REGARDS TO THIS SYSTEM THROUGH
THE EXTENDED PERIODS WITH A CUT OFF LOW DEVELOPING NEAR THE GULF
OF CA BY TUESDAY NIGHT...AND A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AHEAD OF IT
LIFTING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY. THE ECMWF MAY BE
SLIGHTLY SLOWER. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO IMPACT THE REGION DURING
THIS TIME FRAME AND RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS LIKE MOISTURE WILL NOT BE A
CONCERN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH. WILL INTRODUCE LIKELY POPS
TUES MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES GIVEN THE
CURRENT CONTINUITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  73  48  75  46 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         73  47  76  44 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75  49  78  46 /   0   0  10   0
GAGE OK           72  42  71  38 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  45  72  42 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  48  75  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/03/03



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