Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 261541
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1041 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHORT-RANGE MODELS SHOW A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST...AS ARE CURRENT TRENDS
IN OTHER WEATHER ELEMENTS. NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST ARE PLANNED
FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 608 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WEAK FRONT WILL
APPROACH NRN OK SITES TOWARD THE END OF THE PD WITH A FEW TSTMS
POSSIBLE. WITH LIMITED COVERAGE AND LOW CONFIDENCE IN OCCURRENCE AT
ANY PARTICULAR SITE WILL NOT INCLUDE IN FORECAST ATTM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 359 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER HOT DAY EXPECTED TODAY WITH LOW LEVEL S/SW WINDS
PREVAILING AHEAD OF APCHG FRONT. WILL LEAVE HEAT ADVY AS IS
ALTHOUGH VALUES WILL REMAIN MARGINAL. FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE TO
NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN INTO NRN TIER
TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS/TSTMS POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FRONT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ON SUNDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR TSTMS AND SOME RELIEF
FROM THE HEAT IN NRN SECTIONS. SRN AREAS WILL AGAIN BE QUITE WARM
SUNDAY WITH THE WIND SHIFT NOT EXPECTED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.

UPPER RIDGE CENTER MIGRATES WWD WITH NWLY FLOW PATTERN EXPECTED
OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE COMING WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPS AND CONTINUED RAIN CHANCES. HIGHEST
CHANCES EXPECTED AROUND MIDWEEK AS MORE SIGNIFICANT S/W MOVES
THROUGH THE NWLY FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 101  74  98  70 /   0  10  20  30
HOBART OK        101  74 101  70 /   0  10  20  30
WICHITA FALLS TX 100  77 104  75 /   0   0  10  20
GAGE OK          104  70  92  65 /  10  20  20  30
PONCA CITY OK    101  76  93  67 /  10  20  20  20
DURANT OK         97  76  98  74 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ005>008-010>048-
     050>052.

TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

23/09


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