Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 160501
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1101 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

.AVIATION...
6Z TAFS... LOW VFR... POSSIBLY MVFR CEILINGS WILL LINGER AROUND
KPNC FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS BEFORE FINALLY CLEARING OUT.
OTHERWISE... VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE TAFS WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014/

DISCUSSION...
TODAYS FORECAST CHALLENGE IS THE PRECIP CHANCES MID WEEK THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...BOTH POPS AND PRECIP TYPE.

THROUGH TUESDAY...FORECAST IS DRY...MOSTLY SUNNY...AND MILD. TUESDAY
NIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN BRINGING IN MOISTURE FROM THE
GULF...COVERING MOST OF THE AREA IN STRATUS BY WEDNESDAY. WITH A
LITTLE BIT OF ISENTROPIC LIFT...A FEW SPRINKLES CANNOT BE RULED OUT
WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT THE BETTER CHANCES WILL BE IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WHEN A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION.

RAIN CHANCES EXTEND THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. LOOKING AT MODEL SOUNDINGS
AND SURFACE WET BULB TEMPS...CHANCES OF ANY FROZEN PRECIP LOOK SLIM.
TOOK OUT ALL MENTION OF FROZEN PRECIP FROM THE GRIDS. LATEST MODELS
HAVE COME IN MUCH DRIER FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. NOT READY TO JUMP
ON BOARD JUST YET...BUT WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH IN FUTURE RUNS.

THE WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE DRY...AFTER WHICH MODELS DIVERGE. ANOTHER
TROUGH LOOKS TO COME THROUGH NEXT WEEK...BUT MODELS DIFFER GREATLY
IN TIMING.

MAD

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  32  46  33  45 /   0   0   0  40
HOBART OK         31  48  34  45 /   0   0  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  34  50  38  47 /   0   0  10  40
GAGE OK           26  46  31  48 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     29  43  29  42 /   0   0   0  20
DURANT OK         36  49  34  45 /   0   0   0  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

11/25/25


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