Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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702
FXUS64 KOUN 032056
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
256 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WAVE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. IT WILL HAVE VERY LITTLE MOISTURE TO
WORK WITH...SO PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED WITH IT.

THE NEXT SUCH SYSTEM ARRIVES ON FRIDAY...AND WILL SLOW DOWN QUITE
A BIT AS IT PASSES OVER OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS...FINALLY MOVING AWAY
TO THE EAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT MAY BE ABLE TO SCRAPE UP ENOUGH
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY OVER THE FAR EASTERN EDGE OF OUR FORECAST
AREA. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE EITHER RAIN OR SNOW...DEPENDING
ON TEMPERATURES...AND ASSUMING THE MOISTURE/TEMPERATURE PROFILE
SHOWN IN THE GFS IS AT LEAST REASONABLY CLOSE TO WHAT HAPPENS. IN
ANY CASE...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE LIGHT...AND WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING...NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

ARCTIC AIR IS FORECAST TO INVADE THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN
PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME OF THAT AIR WILL PROBABLY REACH
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST TEXAS. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS THAT IT
WILL BE A SHORT-LIVED...MINOR EVENT HERE. TEMPERATURES WILL
PROBABLY DROP TO AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA FOR A DAY OR TWO BEFORE MILD AIR
RETURNS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  25  51  30  54 /   0   0   0   0
HOBART OK         24  51  29  53 /   0   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  26  54  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           18  49  25  50 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     23  50  28  54 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         29  52  32  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

17/23



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