000
FXUS64 KOUN 240528 AAC
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1228 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.AVIATION...
24/06Z TAFs. Primarily VFR conditions most of the forecast period.
However, MVFR cigs/vsby expected in and near TSRA across
southwest Oklahoma and KSPS terminals through at least 12-14Z.
Most if not all of TSRA expected to stay south of KOKC overnight
and tomorrow morning. Northeast winds will slowly subside through
tomorrow morning before switching to east and southeast during the
day Saturday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 552 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

AVIATION...
Gusty north/northeast winds expected to diminish around sunset. Will
leave mention of any thunder out of the sites along and north of I-
40 as chances remain too low late tonight into Saturday morning.
Will keep mention at HBR/LAW/SPS along with some MVFR ceilings
associated with the convection. Otherwise, VFR conditions to prevail.

30

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...
A cold front that is unusually strong for late June is continuing
to move south across southeast Oklahoma and north Texas this
afternoon. A few thunderstorms have already formed along the front
in south-central Oklahoma, and more are expected into the evening.
It is unclear how much coverage there will be with these storms,
as shear is very weak, but instability is moderately strong. Most
likely, they will remain scattered, with wind gusts and heavy rain
being the main features.

Later tonight, probably around midnight, there is a solid signal
that storms will form near I-40, mainly west of Oklahoma City, and
then merge into a storm cluster by sunrise. This cluster of storms
is then expected to move southeast across the southwest quadrant
of Oklahoma, south-central Oklahoma, and most of our Texas
counties.

After that system moves out, we will be left under northwest flow
aloft, and it appears that rain chances will be mainly confined
to western parts of our area for the rest of the weekend. As the
pattern changes slowly through the week, the highest rain chances
(though not particularly high) will shift to northern Oklahoma,
and finally to eastern Oklahoma by Friday.

Another cold front may bring more rain/storms for next Friday and
the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  63  81  64  85 /  20  10  10  20
Hobart OK         62  78  64  86 / 100  30  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  66  80  66  86 /  80  60  20  20
Gage OK           60  78  62  85 /  10  30  30  30
Ponca City OK     61  83  63  85 /  10  10  10  20
Durant OK         65  84  64  86 /  70  60  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/30/11