Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 052030
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS UPPER RIDGE
SLOWLY MOVES TOWARD THE AREA. BUT AS THE RIDGE MOVES TO THE
EAST... THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
AHEAD OF CLOSED LOW SITTING OVER THE UTAH/NEVADA/ARIZONA BORDER
REGION. THERE WILL BE SOME STORM CHANCES ON SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE
MAIN FORCING WILL PRIMARILY REMAIN WEST AND NORTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED. STORM
CHANCES WILL BE HIGHER ON SUNDAY AS THE CLOSED LOW SLOWLY LIFTS
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND SHORTWAVES PIVOTING AROUND SOUTH OF
THE PRIMARILY LOW WILL TAKE BETTER AIM AT THE AREA. UPPER FLOW
BECOMES MORE ZONAL AS THE LOW WEAKENS MOVING TOWARD THE GREAT
LAKES REGION AND MODELS ARE CONSISTENT ON KEEPING SOME QPF SIGNAL
NEAR OR IN THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY NEXT
WEEK. BUT OTHERWISE... DESPITE THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RIDGING
ALOFT... PROGGED TEMPERATURES IN THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS WARM LOW
LEVELS SIGNIFICANTLY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  53  82  58  83 /   0   0   0  10
HOBART OK         54  84  60  85 /   0   0   0  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  54  86  58  86 /   0   0   0  10
GAGE OK           54  87  61  87 /   0   0   0  20
PONCA CITY OK     50  83  59  85 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         54  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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