Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 060914
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
414 AM CDT SUN JUL 6 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING FROM WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA UP THROUGH
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AS WEAKENING SHEAR AXIS ROTATES OVER THE REGION
AND COMBINES WITH WEAK 850-700 WAA. MID-LEVEL FLOW WEAKENS OVER
CWA THIS AFTERNOON...WILL NOT CONTINUE POPS INTO THE AFTERNOON.

HOT AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY
BEFORE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO AT LEAST NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA
TUESDAY NIGHT. FRONT DOES NOT HANG AROUND LONG AND IS EXPECTED TO
LIFT BACK TO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THIS BOUNDARY...MAINLY
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA PERHAPS INTO CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE. OVERALL
FORCING/FLOW EXPECTED TO BE WEAK AND WE WILL HAVE TO RELY MAINLY
LOWER LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR BOUNDARY. PLAN TO KEEP MOST OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS DRY WITH THIS FRONT AND
WILL KEEP TEMPS ABOVE AVERAGE. ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS
APPEAR POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
PRIMARILY TUESDAY EVENING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT.

OUTSIDE OF THE STORM PROSPECTS FOR MAINLY NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
AREAS OF OKLAHOMA...MAIN SENSIBLE IMPACTS THIS WEEK WILL BE
EVOLUTION OF MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME HEAT. FORECAST GRIDS HAVE
OCCASIONAL HEAT INDICES IN THE 100-105 RANGE WITH SOME PERSISTENCE
INTO NEXT WEEKEND ESPECIALLY SOUTHWEST/SOUTHCENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  94  74  98  75 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         98  73 100  74 /  20   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  97  75 100  76 /  10   0   0   0
GAGE OK           98  71  99  72 /  10   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     97  75  99  75 /  20   0   0   0
DURANT OK         94  74  96  75 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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