Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 142138
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
338 PM CST Sun Jan 14 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Another shortwave will pivot southeast from the Northern Plains
into the Central Plains and mid Mississippi Valley tonight around
the large upper low sitting over the northwestern Great Lakes
region. This will bring a chance of precipitation to the north and
nudge a cold front through the area bringing much cooler weather
back into the area. Any precipitation will start as rain late this
evening, then transition to snow (with some potential for freezing
rain) as colder air intrudes into the area. The breezy northwest
winds will elevate fire weather conditions in the southwest Monday
afternoon despite the cold temperatures. Some precipitation may
redevelop above the frontal boundary across southern Oklahoma and
north Texas Monday afternoon. Again starting as rain with a
changeover to freezing rain/sleet chances then light snow
overnight Monday night. The bulk of the precipitation will be
south of the forecast area, so amounts in our forecast area will
be light and significant impacts are not expected at this time.

The cold temperatures will hold on through the early part of the
week with lows most areas in the single digits and teens Tuesday
and Wednesday mornings and wind chill values both early mornings
in the single digits (above and below zero). Temperatures warm
through the week and look to be quite warm Saturday.

The upper wave that yesterday looked to give us a chance of
precipitation Wednesday night/Thursday is now progged by all of
the models to dig much farther south and keep the precipitation
chances to our south. So except for whatever light precipitation
we get through Tuesday morning, our forecast is dry through
Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  30  35  12  23 /   0  10   0   0
Hobart OK         28  37  14  28 /   0  10  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  30  43  19  30 /   0  10  10  10
Gage OK           28  30   8  26 /   0  10   0   0
Ponca City OK     27  30   6  19 /  30  40   0   0
Durant OK         33  45  19  28 /   0  20  30  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$



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