Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 260819
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
319 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL MODELS DEVELOP SHOWERS AND STORMS EARLY THIS MORNING
GENERALLY WHERE CLOUDS HAVE BEEN ON THE INCREASE SINCE LATE
EVENING. THE 00Z NAM12 IS LIKELY OVERDOING CONVECTION BASED ON
MODEL SOUNDINGS...HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED STORM OR SHOWER IS
POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR THROUGH EARLY TO MID
MORNING. ENOUGH ELEVATED INSTABILITY MAY RESULT IN A STRONG STORM.
WILL MAINTAIN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST OF 20 POPS.

MODELS HAVE BEEN RATHER CONSISTENT IN TRACKING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL
ROCKIES/PLAINS. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH BETTER
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE NORTH OF OKLAHOMA...WIDELY
SCATTERED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.

MAINLY DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS THE RIDGE CURRENTLY TO OUR WEST...BUILDS
OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  91  69  93  71 /  20   0   0  10
HOBART OK         95  71  97  73 /  10   0  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  95  71  98  72 /  10   0   0  10
GAGE OK           95  72  96  71 /  10  10  20  40
PONCA CITY OK     90  67  92  70 /  10  10  10  40
DURANT OK         93  69  94  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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