Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 171913
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
213 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
OVERALL NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST. THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE NICE
WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER HIGHS SATURDAY THAN TODAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO
SHOW A WEAK FRONT MOVING INTO PARTS OF THE FA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. A FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE FRONT IN NORTH CENTRAL OK ARE NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION SO HAVE SOME LOW POPS FOR MONDAY MORNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 70S AND 80S NEXT WEEK. MODELS
THEN SHOW A STORM SYSTEM MOVING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
AFFECTING WESTERN PARTS OF THE FA THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
ECMWF AND GFS STILL DIFFER ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT
APPROACHES/MOVES INTO THE REGION WITH THE GFS KEEPING IT AS A
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH AND THE ECMWF CLOSING THEN CUTTING OFF AN UPPER
LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WILL CONT WITH THE LOW POPS FOR
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA WED NIGHT INTO THURSDAY FOR NOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  49  70  48  75 /   0   0  10  10
HOBART OK         48  72  48  76 /   0   0  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  52  76  51  77 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           46  69  46  77 /   0   0  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     46  67  46  74 /   0   0  10  10
DURANT OK         54  74  51  74 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06/25



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