Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 241941
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
241 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE TX PANHANDLE IN VICINITY
OF THE WEAK SURFACE TROUGH. A FEW STORMS MAY MAKE IT INTO PARTS OF
W/NW OK LATE THIS AFTN AND EVENING. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. HOT TEMPS WILL CONTINUE WITH UPPER RIDGE STILL OVER
THE REGION. TSTMS CHANCES WILL BE LIMITED TO NW PARTS OF THE FA.
A FEW TSTMS MAY DEVELOP IN SERN OK TUE/WED AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES AND CAP WEAKENS.

MODELS HAVE COME INTO A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT WITH UPPER TROUGH
MOVING SLOWLY FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. SLOWER MOVEMENT OF
THE UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL DELAY BETTER PRECIP
CHANCES UNTIL LATER IN THE WEEK AND WILL ADJUST POPS ACCORDINGLY.

MODELS MORE DIVERGENT FARTHER OUT WITH EXITING SYSTEM. FOR NOW
WILL NOT MAKE ANY BIG CHANGES AND DRY FORECAST OUT AFTER SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72 100  73  98 /  10   0   0   0
HOBART OK         72 102  72 100 /  20  10   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  73 102  74 100 /  10   0   0   0
GAGE OK           72 100  71  99 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     73 100  74  97 /  10  10  10  10
DURANT OK         74 101  75  99 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

04/02


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