Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 311931
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
131 PM MDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR BRINGING
COOLER WEATHER AND A FEW SHOWERS TO THE REGION IS MOVING OFF TO
THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSHOWERS WILL
PERSIST OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS INTO THE EVENING.
MOST IF NOT ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET.
WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED JUST BELOW LAKE WIND ADVISORY LEVELS THIS
AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. WILL CANCEL THE
LAKE WIND ADVISORY SHORTLY. DRY WEATHER WILL HANG AROUND UNTIL AT
LEAST MIDWEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH
MONDAY. TEMPS WILL REBOUND CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR TUESDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
MODELS ARE DRIER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS SO REDUCED PRECIPITATION
CHANCES FOR MIDWEEK. MODELS ARE ALSO NOTICEABLY COLDER WITH TEMPS
BEHIND THE FRONT. FAVORED THE MODEL CONSENSUS ON TEMPS WHICH SEEMS
TO BE A NICE COMPROMISE OF THE CURRENT AND PREVIOUS GUIDANCE. FLOW
TURNS MORE ZONAL FOR NEXT WEEKEND WITH TEMPS REBOUNDING CLOSER TO
NORMAL...PROBABLY MOSTLY DRY AS WELL.

VALLE

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
MONDAY. WILL HAVE 10 TO 20 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON TODAY AT BYI...PIH AND IDA. EXPECT SIMILAR WINDS MONDAY
AFTERNOON AT ALL THREE SITES AS WELL. GK

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WILL SEE SOME LINGERING ISOLATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EARLY THIS EVENING IN ZONE 411. SHOULD BE
DRY ELSEWHERE. WILL HAVE WIDESPREAD DRY CONDITIONS MONDAY. WILL
SEE SOME 20 TO 30 MPH WIND GUSTS MAINLY IN 410 AND 425 VERY EARLY
THIS EVENING AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH EASTERN IDAHO WEDNESDAY WITH MORE WINDS
EXPECTED. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEK. GK

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$



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