Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 122000
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
200 PM MDT WED JUN 12 2013

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE FRONT.
LARGE HAIL SEEMS TO BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. WIND
GUSTS WITH THE STORMS ARE HOLDING UNDER 40MPH SO FAR. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS
AN UPPER LOW MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL IDAHO. EXPECT COOLER TEMPS ON
THURSDAY WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS LIKELY FOR FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS
WILL FALL TO AROUND 8000 FEET AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS COULD SEE AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES
THROUGH ON THURSDAY NIGHT. FRIDAY LOOKS RELATIVELY DRY AS THE
UPPER LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY FOR THE AMERICAN FALLS RESERVOIR WITH WINDS
AROUND 20 MPH LIKELY.

VALLE

.LONG TERM...TURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
UPPER RIDGE MOVES EAST SATURDAY WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT RETURNING
TO SOUTHEAST IDAHO.   SHOULD SEE A WARMING TREND WITH TEMPERATURES
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS BY SUNDAY.   EXPECT PREDOMINATELY DRY WEATHER
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE NEXT PACIFIC TROF PUSHING EAST BY MID
WEEK.   EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO COOL OFF WITH THIS SYSTEM WEDNESDAY.
OVERALL KEPT MOST ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IN CENTRAL MOUNTAINS NEXT
WEEK.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...EXTENSIVE MOISTURE PUSHING INTO REGION ON SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WITH SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SPLITTING SOUTHEAST IDAHO.
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY PRETTY WIDESPREAD AND HAVE PREDOMINANT SHOWERS
IN TAFS WITH VICINITY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 02 TO 03Z THIS EVENING.
SHOULD REMAIN VFR EVEN IN SHOWERS.  EXPECT MUCH LESS COVERAGE
THURSDAY BUT WILL HAVE WINDY CONDITIONS BEHIND COLD FRONT WITH 20 TO
30 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS EXPECTED THURSDAY AT IDA AND PIH WITH 15 TO
25 AT BYI.
GK

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$
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