Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 160101

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
701 PM MDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.UPDATE...Update this evening for isolated thunderstorms extending
further south in the Snake Plain, otherwise remainder of the
forecast remains the same. RS


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 150 PM MDT Tue Aug 15 2017/

DISCUSSION...Some residual moisture from Monday`s storm is
producing a few isolated thunderstorms across the region this
afternoon. Expect this activity to diminish this evening. Very
weak system will pass through the region on Wednesday. Could see
some cu buildup in the afternoon, maybe an outside shot at a stray
shower but probably not enough to include in the forecast. Dry
weather will be in place for the remainder of the week into
Saturday. By Sunday, gfs develops a low pressure system over
California which brings moisture into the region from the south.
This could produce isolated storms for Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.
The european solution develops this low off the coast of
California offering a more optimistic forecast for the eclipse by
keeping the moisture south of the region. Given the large
differences in solutions, overall confidence in the forecast
remains low.


AVIATION...Will have widespread VFR conditions through Wednesday.
Only DIJ will see showers or thunderstorms vicinity this afternoon
and evening.   No significant winds expected through Wednesday as

FIRE WEATHER...Will have isolated thunderstorms mainly in zones 411
and 413 this evening which should be the only significant weather
this evening.  Dry conditions are expected Wednesday through Friday
with little significant weather expected.



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