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000
FXUS65 KPIH 111949
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
150 PM MDT FRI APR 11 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
WAS SHOWING A PACIFIC DISTURBANCE DIGGING SE THROUGH WRN CANADA THIS
AFTERNOON. NUMERICAL MODELS DRIVE THIS WAVE INTO MONTANA OVERNIGHT
WITH SECONDARY ENERGY DIGGING SOUTH INTO IDAHO SATURDAY/SATURDAY
NIGHT PRODUCING WINDY CONDITIONS SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH AN
INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES OVERHEAD. NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND LINGERING
SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY AS THE STORM SHIFTS SE OF THE REGION.
CLEARING SKIES FOLLOW SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A TRANSIENT RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM DEVELOPING OFF THE NW COAST. NUMERICAL AND STATISTICAL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT WIND SPEEDS WILL FALL SHORT OF ADVISORY
CONDITIONS SATURDAY. THE STRONGEST SPEEDS ARE ANTICIPATED ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 84/86 CORRIDOR WITH LIGHTER SPEEDS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN WHERE BLOWING DUST TENDS TO BE AN ISSUE NEAR
ROBERTS. HUSTON

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS ARE HANGING ON TO
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN
CONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN FROM TUESDAY ON.  CURRENTLY...BOTH MODELS
DROP A WEAK WAVE SOUTH FROM WESTERN MONTANA INTO THE AREA WITH WEAK
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND
UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BOTH MODELS THEN BUILD
IN WEAK RIDGING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHEN THEY BOTH BRING IN A
SLIGHTLY STRONGER SYSTEM WITH MODERATE PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE GFS MODEL TAKES THE PRECIPITATION OUT BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND THE ECMWF MODEL KEEPS PRECIPITATION UNTIL EARLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY
BECOMING NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THE REST OF THE WEEK.
WYATT
&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TODAY. EXPECT WINDS TO
REMAIN BREEZY ACROSS THE SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AND EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. EXPECT MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE
AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO TOMORROW EVENING AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING SYSTEM. WYATT
&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$