527
FXUS65 KPIH 110438
AFDPIH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
1038 PM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler temps, closer to normal through Friday.

- Breezy today.

- Warming trend over the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 141 PM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025

The system that brought some thunderstorms and wind gusts to the
area yesterday is well to our east today and skies are once again
mostly clear aside from some high elevation CU developing. Winds
remain elevated this afternoon though as the pressure gradient
remains tight but this will slacken later tonight as high pressure
again starts to build over the area. Until then though, winds will
remain around 15-25 mph across much of the region with higher gusts.
Temperatures are 5-8 degrees cooler than yesterday though with most
places still in the mid to upper 70s currently but will climb into
the low to mid 80s before the day is done. Daytime highs tomorrow
will be right around normal once again with mostly clear skies
expected and lighter winds.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 141 PM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Hotter temperatures, 90s, return to parts of the region on Saturday
and become even more widespread by the time we get into Sunday. The
weekend feature mostly clear skies, light winds and no precip
chances. Monday and Tuesday will remain on the warmer side of normal
but a series of weak shortwaves do look likely to move to our north.
This will help tighten the pressure gradient a bit allowing winds to
increase some Monday and Tuesday but likely to around 15-20 mph but
these numbers could change over the days ahead. The shortwave looks
to send a backdoor cold front in behind it ushering some slightly
cooler air in later Tuesday and for the day on Wednesday. Could see
some isolated PoPs across the higher terrain around the Island Park
region during this time but most of the area will continue dry
through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1031 PM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Mostly dry conditions and clear skies will persist for the next
several days. Winds have diminished this evening and will
generally remain under 10 kts Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 141 PM MDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Breezy winds and marginal afternoon humidities today will continue
to lead toward elevated fire concerns through the evening. Winds
decrease during the evening. High pressure builds back into East
Idaho for the weekend into early next week. Expect afternoon winds
and humidities to decrease slightly each day, remaining outside
critical thresholds. A series of weak features work over the ridge
of high pressure next week, allowing for isolated shower and
thunderstorm development across the north each day beginning Monday.
These features look to bring an uptick in afternoon wind gusts. With
afternoon humidities expected in the teens, there may be days next
week where concerns remain elevated, and may approach critical at
times.

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...McKaughan
LONG TERM...McKaughan
AVIATION...Cropp
FIRE WEATHER...DMH