Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 102040

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
240 PM MDT Tue Oct 10 2017

.SHORT TERM...Today through Friday. Expect dry conditions and
breezy to moderate winds with a southerly flow ahead of a weak
cold front this afternoon. This weak cold front will move through
on Wednesday bringing very light precipitation across our Northern
areas as well as breezy to moderate winds across our whole area.
Most of our area will remain dry with our extreme Northern areas
receiving 0.02 to 0.08 inch of precipitation with light snow of 1
to 2 inches above 6000 to 6500 feet. Thursday expect dry
conditions along with continued breezy to moderate winds ahead of
a bigger system that will start moving into our Western areas by
Friday morning. Look for around normal temperatures on Wednesday
before dropping back below normal on Thursday and Friday. Wyatt

.LONG TERM...Friday night through next Tuesday. Deterministic models
now in better agreement on timing of upper trough Friday
night/Saturday. However, GFS ensembles showing some uncertainty
continues among its members. General trend is towards ECMWF
solution, which keeps influence of trough lingering into Saturday
evening. Snow levels will be as low as 4000 ft, which bring some
light snowfall to the valleys. Most of the dynamics for snowfall
will be over northern Utah, so accumulations should be fairly light.
Sunday and beyond look dry as a northwesterly flow prevails over the
state. Hinsberger


.AVIATION...Breezy conditions across the area today with a shortwave
approaching the Pacific Coast. Winds will increase as the low-level
inversion breaks late tomorrow morning. Otherwise VFR conditions
with only high clouds drifting across southeast Idaho this
afternoon. Hinsberger



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