Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 170326

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
926 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016


Received reports this evening of snow as low as Montpelier.
Surface confirm that snow levels are much lower than forecast, as
low as 6000 feet. New 00z NAM seems to have the best handle on the
situation. Given the convective nature of this system, suspect
that is driving the snow levels way down in the bands of moderate
to heavy precipiation. So, updated forecast to lower snow levels
from I-86 south where the NAM shows the heaviest precipitation
occurring tonight. Scary thing is the NAM even shows snow levels
as low as 5000 feet around the Coldwater area late tonight which
might support a rain/snow mix for the Snake Plain and Magic
Valley. Although, would expect accumulating snows to stay closer
to 6000 feet because of the warm surface temps. Will not issue an
advisory but will issue a special weather statement. Potentially
areas from Soda Springs to Montpelier could see 1 to 4 inches of
slushy snow and the mountain passes across the southeast
highlands could see 6 to 7 inches tonight.



.PIH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 6 PM MDT Monday for IDZ017-020-021.


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