Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 190540 AAB
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1240 AM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

COULD HAVE A FEW HOURS OF PATCHY FOG AROUND SUNRISE...BUT
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH ONLY FEW-SCT050 BASES
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...LESS
THAN 10 MPH AT ALL SITES...AND WILL VEER FROM A NE DIRECTION TO SE
THROUGH THE DAY.

&&


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AN UPPER RIDGE IS BUILDING OVER
THE PLAINS. THIS RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH SUNDAY. THE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST OF ARKANSAS SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
RETURN...AND THIS WILL ALLOW MOISTURE TO INCREASE AS WELL. AN
UPPER TROUGH IN THE ROCKIES SUNDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS
MONDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIET OVER ARKANSAS SATURDAY AND FOR
MUCH OF SUNDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY BUT CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE THROUGH THE
STATE MONDAY AND MAY STALL. MONDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE OUT
OF THE STATE AND THE RAIN WILL END BEHIND IT. THE WARMING TREND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY WILL EXIT TO THE
EAST TO BEGIN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. CLOUDS WILL DECREASE...WITH
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENDING TUESDAY. WHILE FAIR
WEATHER RETURNS...A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL DIG INTO THE ROCKIES...
WHICH WILL RESULT IN RIDGING ACROSS THE PLAINS. IT WILL BE QUITE
MILD TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE
FORECAST. THE PERIOD WILL END WITH LOW PRESSURE FORMING IN KANSAS IN
RESPONSE TO THE ROCKIES SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WELL TO THE
NORTH OF ARKANSAS...BUT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE REGION.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...HAVE SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     75  51  76  57 /   0   0  10  30
CAMDEN AR         79  54  80  58 /   0   0  10  20
HARRISON AR       75  52  75  56 /   0   0  20  50
HOT SPRINGS AR    77  55  78  60 /   0   0  10  30
LITTLE ROCK   AR  77  55  79  59 /   0   0  10  20
MONTICELLO AR     78  53  79  57 /   0   0  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      76  52  77  57 /   0   0  20  30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  76  51  76  55 /   0   0  20  40
NEWPORT AR        76  51  77  57 /   0   0  10  20
PINE BLUFF AR     76  54  78  58 /   0   0  10  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   77  53  78  57 /   0   0  20  40
SEARCY AR         76  49  76  54 /   0   0  10  20
STUTTGART AR      76  54  77  57 /   0   0  10  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...64






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