Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 182329
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
629 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 215 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

Upper level shortwave which brought cloud cover and some sprinkles
or light shower activity to parts of southwest Missouri and
extreme southeast Kansas late yesterday and last night has shifted
to the east of the area today. Surface high pressure remains in
control across the area with temperatures again well below normal
for this time of year in the mid to upper 70s.

Warming trend is expected to begin on Saturday and continue
through next week to more July like conditions. Main focus will be
with these warmer temperatures and thunderstorm chances by midweek
as a system moves in from the northwest.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

For tonight, clouds should begin to clear this evening with the
surface wind becoming mainly light and variable as surface high
pressure remains over the area. Could see some patchy fog develop
mainly over the lower lying areas along with river valleys and
area lakes. Temperatures should again cool back into the mid 50s
in parts of the eastern Ozarks to the low 60s out west.

Will start to see temperatures warm back towards more normal
readings starting Saturday as we return to the 80s for highs.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

An upper level ridge will begin to develop across the eastern
Rockies and high Plains into the central U.S. late this weekend
into early next week. Temperatures should warm back into the 90s
on Monday and could start to see heat index values creep up into
the 100 to 105 degree range Monday through the remainder of the
week.

A shortwave in the northern Plains is forecast to break down the
eastern portions of the upper level ridge by the middle of next
week bringing upper level energy into the central U.S. along with
a frontal boundary. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible,
mainly in association with this system late Tuesday into Wednesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 625 PM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

Little change in the aviation forecast for the next 24 hours as
high pressure lingers over the region. Light winds, cool
temperatures and limited cloud cover will allow for some MVFR to
locally IFR fog to develop overnight and into the early morning
hours. Any for that does develop will dissipate quickly after
sunrise with VFR conditions expected for the remainder of the day
Saturday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Hatch







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