Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 220814

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
214 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0200 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2015

The coldest night of the season so far is underway early this
morning, with 2 AM temperatures in the low to mid 20s. A few
mesonet sites are showing readings in the upper teens in some of
the more protected valleys. Areas north of US 60 could actually
rise a degree or two through sunrise, as an area of broken high
cloud cover swings southeast through central Missouri.

After a cold start, temperatures should warm into the mid to
perhaps upper 40s today, as heights rise aloft and southwest winds
begin to increase. Temperatures tonight won`t be as cold, with
lows generally a few degrees on either side of 30.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 0200 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2015

Breezy southwest winds will continue through mid week, along with
a corresponding increase in daytime highs as high pressure pushes
into the Mid Atlantic. Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday will all
feature highs around or just a few degrees above seasonal

As we head into Thanksgiving Day, a slow moving front will begin
to push toward the area, ahead of a deep cutoff low over the
Intermountain West. Current expectations are for rain to begin to
develop and overspread the area Thursday, continuing through much
of the day Friday. While guidance has become slightly more
progressive with this system, rainfall amounts still look quite
healthy, certainly enough to cause flood concerns if they come to

Precipitation may end as light snow or a rain/snow mix Friday
night into Saturday morning as colder air builds into the area.
Post-frontal temperatures for the first part of the weekend look
quite chilly, with highs perhaps only in the low 40s.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1114 PM CST SAT NOV 21 2015

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFs: VFR conditions will prevail
across the TAF sites tonight and Sunday. High pressure will be
over the area tonight with light winds and clear skies occurring.
As the area of high pressure starts to spread off to the east
south to southwesterly winds will develop Sunday morning and
continue through the rest of the day.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


LONG TERM...Boxell
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