Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 272044

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
344 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2016

Will be monitoring the potential for isolated storm development
into early this evening across central Missouri and the eastern
Ozarks a cold front pushes east across the region. A few storms
could brush by central Missouri in closer proximity to the upper
low. Expect coverage of any convective development to be rather
sparse with only a limited risk for severe.

Surface high pressure will build into the region Thursday for a
tranquil spring weather day.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2016

The active weather will return Friday into the weekend as the next
upper low comes out of the southern Rockies. Expect increasing
warm air and moisture advection to support an increasing chance
for showers and thunderstorms Friday into Friday night. Expect
this activity to be elevated in nature. With limited instability
expect storms Friday to remain below severe limits. The activity
will continue into Saturday as the upper level trough moves into
the Plains. Will have to monitor how far north the warm sector
progresses for the potential of more surface based storms.

The showers will diminish Sunday as this system moves into the
Ohio River Valley. Looks like we will get another break in the
weather on Monday before more active weather returns again.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Wed Apr 27 2016

Pilots can expect variable ceilings this afternoon as a cold
front pushes eastward across the region. Ceilings will fall into
MVFR category at times. A few storms may develop mainly to the
east of the terminal sites. Clearing is expected tonight into
Thursday with a wind shift to the west.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.