Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 192327
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
627 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period. Cannot
totally rule out some fog at KBVO and KFYV late tonight, but
confidence is too low to include in the TAF`s.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 332 PM CDT Mon Jun 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Mid level clouds streaming across northeast OK and northwest AR in
w-nw flow is about the only feature of note this afternoon.
Atypically cool conditions will continue through tonight...and the
area will see high temperatures tomorrow as well as the next few
days a few degrees above climatological averages. Dry weather will
continue through most of this work week as mid level flow retreats
to the north. Tropical system that will come inland and move north
will bear watching towards the end of the week. At this time the
track would keep significant rainfall from this system east of the
area...and for now have kept pops out of SE OK and WC AR. Best
chances for rain and thunder still appear to be with a cold front
that will move into the area this weekend. Also...forward speed
and track of the tropical system will likely impact frontal timing
for this upcoming weekend. With that uncertainty in mind...have
opted to broad brush much of the area with chance pops late in
the forecast cycle. Overall...stayed close to guidance
temperatures.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05



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