Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 270853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT MON JUL 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. WILL
ISSUE A HEAT ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA EXCEPT FOR FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND A
SMALL PART OF EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. PARTS OF THE ARKANSAS RIVER
VALLEY MAY COME CLOSE TO WARNING CRITERIA AS THEY DID SUNDAY BUT
MOST PLACES WILL COME UP SHORT.

THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY DUE INTO THE AREA AROUND MIDWEEK LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL ARRIVE A BIT QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE STILL FIRMLY IN CONTROL...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
WITH THE BOUNDARY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENING LOOKS TOO LOW TO
MENTION AT THIS TIME. THE BETTER...BUT STILL LOW...CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS IN OUR AREA WILL BE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO RETROGRADE TO THE WEST
AND UPSLOPE CONVECTION FROM THE HIGH PLAINS MAKES A RUN AT OUR
AREA.

DRY WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL NEXT WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE
SEASONAL NORMALS...IN OTHER WORDS HOT.

STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES AND PERSISTENCE THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   97  77  97  76 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   98  77  98  76 /  10   0   0   0
MLC   97  76  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   96  74  96  73 /   0   0   0  10
FYV   93  72  93  71 /  10   0   0   0
BYV   92  74  92  73 /  10  10   0   0
MKO   96  75  96  74 /  10  10   0   0
MIO   95  74  95  73 /  10   0   0  10
F10   96  75  96  74 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   98  75  98  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     OKZ049-053>068-070>076.

AR...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ARZ019-020-029.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05

PLATE


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