Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
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454 FXUS65 KABQ 020643 AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1243 AM MDT Sun Nov 2 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1241 AM MDT Sun Nov 2 2025 - Remaining dry with highs generally around 5 to 15 degrees above average next week. - Breezy to locally windy conditions across the eastern highlands and northeast and east central plains Thursday. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday) Issued at 1241 AM MDT Sun Nov 2 2025 Ridging will build in over central and northern New Mexico today, with 500mb heights surging as high as the 95th percentile for early November. As a result, high temperatures will also be well-above normal, with 60s and 70s in most areas. Combined with clear skies and light winds, it will make for an excellent Fall day to spend outside. The ridge will begin to break down on Monday, allowing a light south to southwest breeze to develop. A weak backdoor frontal intrusion from the northeast will cool temps down a tad in the northeast plains, with temps a tad higher elsewhere thanks to some weak warm air advection. High clouds will spread across the state from northwest to southeast throughout the afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 1241 AM MDT Sun Nov 2 2025 Pleasant and seasonably warm weather will continue to prevail around the region next week through the weekend. A light westerly breeze will likely develop in the afternoon in eastern NM and the downsloping breeze will warm temps up a bit more. A weak disturbance crossing over the central Rockies will induce the development of a weak lee-side low in eastern Colorado. The typical windy areas just east of the central mountain chain could see gusts as high as 40 mph, but it will be largely unimpactful. Models are getting into better agreement that another ridge will develop over the western CONUS late next week, keeping the dry and warmer weather around this weekend into the early portion of next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1241 AM MDT Sun Nov 2 2025 VFR conditions with light winds and mostly clear skies will prevail through the TAF period. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1241 AM MDT Sun Nov 2 2025 High pressure shifts overhead today, creating poor ventilation along with light winds and above average temperatures. Ventilation will begin to improve Monday and Tuesday of next week as the ridge breaks down and light westerlies move overhead. Stronger winds will create some elevated fire weather conditions in eastern NM, particularly on Thursday afternoon. Ridging shifts back overhead next weekend, with widespread poor to fair ventilation returning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 69 38 71 38 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 69 29 71 28 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 69 38 70 36 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 72 35 71 32 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 71 40 70 37 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 74 35 75 33 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 72 38 74 35 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 71 44 73 44 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 71 40 72 38 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 79 36 77 35 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 81 36 81 40 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 66 35 66 32 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 67 43 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 71 43 71 41 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 67 41 69 39 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 61 35 62 35 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 66 18 67 28 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 70 31 71 32 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 72 41 71 39 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 73 36 76 37 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 68 44 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 69 38 71 39 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 71 48 74 48 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 72 43 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 74 38 77 41 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 72 44 75 44 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 72 34 76 38 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 74 42 76 43 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 72 33 76 37 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 74 42 76 43 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 72 34 76 38 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 70 46 73 45 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 73 44 75 44 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 75 43 79 44 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 67 43 70 42 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 67 43 71 43 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 70 37 73 39 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 72 29 76 34 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 67 40 70 39 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 69 40 72 42 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 69 40 73 41 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 70 44 75 48 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 67 44 72 48 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 72 38 65 40 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 74 34 70 36 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 77 33 71 35 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 73 36 70 40 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 78 44 66 47 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 74 39 68 39 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 79 38 73 43 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 77 42 75 43 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 78 39 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 76 44 81 45 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 77 43 82 45 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 77 40 79 40 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 78 42 81 42 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 78 46 81 47 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 77 43 80 45 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...16