Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KABR 031725 AAC
AFDABR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1225 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1022 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THE REST OF TODAY. WILL CONTINUE TO
SEE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH PRESSURE
RESIDES OVER THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 402 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CWA
TODAY AND FOR A MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. WE WILL
SEE A BROAD ALBEIT WEAK MID LEVEL CIRCULATION MOVING ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...INTO THE PLAINS TUESDAY...AND DISSIPATE
WEDNESDAY. A BAND OF MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CONVECTION WILL COME
IN FROM SOUTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA EARLY TUESDAY AM. DRY AIR WILL KEEP
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA STABLE TUESDAY AS WELL...WITH MAINLY MOIST
ADIABATIC PROFILES AND WEAK SHEAR ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL
COUNTIES AS THE LEE LOW DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHEAST. DESPITE WEAKENING
FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW...AND NO LOW LEVEL
JET...REMNANT CONVECTION/SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH
THE SURFACE LOW SOUTH OF THE CWA AND A WEAKLY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE...EXPECT SCATTERED UNORGANIZED SURFACE BASED CONVECTION
TO REDEVELOP IN THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 402 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

NOT A LOT OF CHANGE FROM 24 HOURS AGO. IT DOES STILL LOOK LIKE THE
EXTENDED WILL BE A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION
CHANCES. IT ALSO STILL LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IS
GOING TO BE NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL FOR...AT LEAST...HIGH TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1224 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TOWARD THE END OF
THE TAF PERIOD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...TMT
SHORT TERM...CONNELLY
LONG TERM...DORN
AVIATION...WISE



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.