Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FXUS63 KABR 281743 AAC
AFDABR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1243 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

AVIATION DISCUSSION UPDATED BELOW FOR 18Z TAFS.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 1009 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REGION THIS MORNING. INCREASED
CLOUD COVER THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. LOWERED FORECAST HIGHS AS
WELL DUE TO CLOUDS. IF AND WHEN CLOUDS DO BREAK UP TEMPS WILL RISE
QUICKLY INTO THE 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

LAST OF THE SHOWERS/STORMS ARE MOVING SOUTH WITH LOW
PRESSURE...REPLACED BY AREAS OF FOG UNDER AN INVERTED RIDGE AXIS.
THIS FEATURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY EAST OF THE CWA WHILE SLOWLY
WEAKENING...WHILE LOW PRESSURE GRADUALLY DEVELOPS TO THE NORTHWEST.
THE RESULT IS INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW...WITH A STEADY INCREASE IN
850MB TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 347 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

THE REGION WILL BE BETWEEN UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE EAST AND A
TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...KEEPING UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. A SURFACE FRONT
WILL GRADUAL WORK ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...AND MAY BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS OR WEAK
THUNDERSTORMS. BIG HINDERING FACTOR WILL BE A FAIRLY STRONG CAPPING
INVERSION OVER THE AREA...THEREFORE WILL KEEP POPS LOW FOR NOW. WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY TUESDAY THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY...WITH ANOTHER FRONT POSSIBLY BRINGING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES BACK TO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH
HIGHS IN THE 80S AND 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

MVFR CIGS CONTINUE TO LINGER AT THE KABR AND KPIR TERMINALS...BUT
WILL BE ON A GRADUAL DECREASE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF
FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...TMT/WISE
SHORT TERM...CONNELLY
LONG TERM...PARKIN
AVIATION...TMT



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