Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 251100
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
600 AM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

An upper level trough will continue to lift north and east of the
Central Plains today. This will allow a cold front and surface high
pressure to build into Kansas. The cold front will switch winds from
light and variable to north and northwest at 15 to 30 mph. Areas of
dense fog have formed ahead of the front, with a dense fog advisory
issued. The wind shift will bring in a drier airmass and will clear
the fog away later this morning. Some scattered thunderstorms will
be mainly in the Medicine Lodge area through 6 am then pushing east.
Highs look to be in the low to mid 70s with clearing skies and north
winds decreasing by mid to late afternoon.

Tonight, then center of cold high pressure will settle into far
western Kansas with clear skies and very light winds. There could be
some upper 30s near Garden City and west and north with low to mid
40s elsewhere. There even could be some patchy frost in low lying
areas.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

For the period of Monday into Thursday, upper level high pressure
will build into the Plains with mostly clear skies and a warming
trend. Highs will warm from the 70s on Monday, then back to around
80 to 85 degrees.

From Friday into Saturday, a lead shortwave trough is forecast to
push across the Central Plains with scattered thunderstorms and
highs around 80.

Overnight lows will warm from the mid and upper 40s Monday night and
back into the 50s by Tuesday night into Saturday night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 600 AM CDT Sun Sep 25 2016

VFR through Monday. North winds strong and gusty for several hours
this morning, gusting near 30 kts as winds aloft mix down to the
surface. Winds will gradually diminish this afternoon. Light winds
and a clear sky tonight as surface high settles directly over
SW KS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  73  44  74  48 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  73  41  74  46 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  72  43  72  48 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  73  45  73  47 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  72  42  74  47 /   0   0   0   0
P28  74  49  74  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Turner



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