Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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840
FXUS63 KDDC 191700
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1200 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Tue Jul 19 2016

For today, upper level warm ridging remains dominant across the
Central Plains with general subsidence and no chances for any storms
into tonight for southwest or south central Kansas. A surface lee
trough remains with a typical diurnal wind response of light south
winds increasing to 15 to 22 mph by afternoon. Highs today will
still be on the hot side mainly in the mid to upper 90s.

For tonight, same old forecast with light south to southeast winds
and lows from 70 to 74 with the warmest in parts of south central
Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Tue Jul 19 2016

For Wednesday into Friday, the heat wave continues with upper level
warm ridging and little to no chances for any rainfall. Highs will
be near 100 on Wednesday, then could be the warmest on Thursday and
Friday near 102. Lower dewpoints less than 70 should keep most of
the area just below heat advisory criteria. Lows will be warm and
in the low to mid 70s.

For the weekend, the upper warm ridge begins to breakdown with a
more active northern upper jet and waves moving across the Rockies
into the Central Plains. These upper level waves will give some
increasing chances for rainfall into Monday. Highs will be slightly
cooler and in the lower to mid 90s for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue Jul 19 2016

VFR/SKC through Wednesday. South winds at 15-25 kts this
afternoon, diminishing some at sunset. Another SWly low level jet
develops overnight with 850 mb winds increasing to near 40 kts.
Another round of LLWS mentioned in the TAFs for beginning in the
06-08z time frame. After 15z Wed, SW winds increase sharply, with
gusts near 30 kts at all airports. No chance of thunderstorms with
strong high pressure aloft.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  96  72  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  96  71 100  72 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  97  71  99  72 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  98  71 100  72 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  96  74  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
P28  97  74 100  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Turner



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