Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KDDC 260604
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
104 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

...UPDATED FOR SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 101 AM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL PERSIST TODAY INTO TONIGHT,
AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH, WITH WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS. AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND STORM SYSTEM
MOVES INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TONIGHT, A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE
ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS BY EARLY MORNING. IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH SOME INCREASING HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS CLOUDINESS WILL MOVE
INTO WESTERN KANSAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE CLOUDS SHOULD BE
FAIRLY THIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE TO NO IMPACT ON HIGH
TEMPERATURES.

FOR TODAY, A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING AND MOVE EAST, THEN A SURFACE TROUGH
REDEVELOPS ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO. COULD HAVE A LITTLE STRATUS OR
FOG UP NEAR THE HAYS AREA JUST AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW EARLY THIS
MORNING, HOWEVER NEW GUIDANCE SHOWS THE FOG MORE NORTH OF I-70.
WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BY LATE
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH,
AND LIGHTER IN THE I-70 CORRIDOR. WITH GOOD DOWNSLOPE AND THIN
CLOUDINESS EXPECTED, AFTERNOON HIGHS COULD AGAIN BE CLOSE TO OR
BREAK SOME RECORDS. THE RECORD HIGH AT DODGE CITY IS 89 DEGREES,
GARDEN CITY 88, AND MEDICINE LODGE 95.

TONIGHT THIN CIRRUS CLOUDINESS INCREASES SOMEWHAT WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING LIGHT SOUTHWEST LATE. A SURFACE LOW AND
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN KANSAS WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM
NEAR HAYS TO ELKHART TOWARDS DAWN. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE MILD WITH
UPPER 40S WEST OF THE COLD FRONT AND LOW TO MID 50S EAST. THE
WARMEST AIR WILL RESIDE IN THE MEDICINE LODGE AREA TONIGHT WITH LOWS
ONLY AROUND 60.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DURING THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WHICH WILL IN TURN PUSH A
SURFACE COLD FRONT THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDINESS THROUGHOUT THE
DAY MONDAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE I-70 CORRIDOR MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING,
WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED MONDAY BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT MAKING IT
FEEL COOLER THAN IT ACTUALLY IS. SKIES THEN BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR ON
TUESDAY WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES. AS FOR TEMPERATURES, LOWS
SUNDAY NIGHT ARE PROGGED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL KANSAS TO UPPER 50S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 60S ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS TO MID 70S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT
ARE ANTICIPATED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 30S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS TO MID 40S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS TUESDAY ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S BEHIND THE FRONT.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS THEN PROGGED TO BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND SUPPRESSING ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FROM DEVELOPING OVER
WESTERN KANSAS. A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO MOVE DOWN THROUGH
THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATE IN THE WEEK PUSHING ANOTHER COLD FRONT AT
THE SURFACE THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS. HIGHS
THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 60S WITH LOWS RANGING
FROM THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1138 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS TODAY
AS LOW PRESSURE REDEVELOPS IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10KT BECOME WEST/NORTHWESTERLY AFTER 14-18Z AND INCREASE TO
15-25KT EXCEPT LIGHTER WINDS AT KHYS. SOME CIRROSTRATUS MOVES IN
IN THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL WAVE
MOVING INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  87  53  71  42 /   0   0  10  20
GCK  86  49  68  39 /   0   0  20  20
EHA  88  52  68  39 /   0   0  10  10
LBL  90  53  70  40 /   0   0  10  10
HYS  85  51  67  40 /   0   0  10  20
P28  91  60  76  46 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KRUSE
LONG TERM...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...KRUSE



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.