Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KDDC 221105
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
605 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 409 AM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

In the very near term, a few isolated, outflow enhanced showers
and weak thunderstorms may be found as far east as the highway 83
corridor, which somewhat mirrors a few recent HRRR runs for the
early morning reflectivity trends. Little impact is expected from
these elevated showers other than a   brief  moderate shower and
isolated early morning lightning. Hot conditions are forecast once
again today as a strong 700 mb ridge influences the central High
Plains. The heat advisory is again in effect for this afternoon
roughly northeast of a Dighton to Coldwater line. A few more
thunderstorms are possible again tonight, however under the same
conditions updrafts would be weak, and with minimal impacts.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 409 AM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

Thunderstorms generally have a better chance of occurrence each day
going forward, as the atmosphere become less stable in the mid
levels and the 700 mb hot ridge begins to weaken. Temperatures are
forecast by the models to return closer to the normal mid summer
highs and lows, bringing slight relief to the hot weather of the
last few days.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

A trough of low pressure will remain nearly stationary in far
eastern Colorado. East of this boundary a southerly wind across
western Kansas will increase to around 15 knots by the early
afternoon. VFR conditions can be expected today given NAM and RAP
moisture profiles across western Kansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC 103  75 101  74 /  10  10  20  20
GCK 102  74  99  71 /  20  20  30  30
EHA 103  72 101  71 /  20  20  40  40
LBL 105  71 102  73 /  10  10  30  30
HYS 103  75 101  74 /  20  20  20  30
P28 106  77 103  76 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ030-031-044>046-
064>066-079>081-089-090.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Burgert


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.