Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 041710 CCA
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1104 AM CST Sun Dec 4 2016

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 216 AM CST Sun Dec 4 2016

Patchy fog will remain present over the first couple of hours this
morning with mostly clear skies anticipated for the remainder of
the day through tonight. Winds will generally be from the
northwest this morning shifting to more of a southerly direction
by this evening and continuing through tonight. This is due to the
dome of high pressure sliding into the Southern Plains with
troughing developing across eastern Colorado. As for temperatures,
highs today look to reach to around 50 degrees with lows tonight
in the mid to upper 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 216 AM CST Sun Dec 4 2016

An upper level disturbance will move into the Northern Plains
Monday and help push a surface cold front through western Kansas
Monday afternoon into Monday night. Southerly winds will be felt
ahead of this front with gusty northerly winds behind it. No
precipitation is expected at this time with only a slight increase
in cloud cover. A more vigorous shortwave will then move through
the Central Rockies and into the Central Plains Tuesday night into
Wednesday. This will bring another shot of cold air to western
Kansas. The atmosphere above western Kansas will become saturated
at this time bringing mostly cloudy skies and a chance of
precipitation. Temperatures in the lower levels should remain
below zero leading to all snow in the forecast. With the strong
northerly winds behind this front, blowing snow will be possible,
especially during the day Wednesday. Dry conditions are then
anticipated through at least Friday as high pressure dominates the
region. Another storm system is depicted by the extended models.
This will need to be monitored as time passes. As for
temperatures, highs look to reach into the lower 50s Monday then
plummet into the 30s Tuesday with mid to upper 20s expected
Wednesday and Thursday. Highs then rebound into the 30s Friday
with 40s on Saturday. Lows will start out ranging from the teens
along the KS/CO border Monday night then down into the single
digits by Wednesday morning. Lows then rebound into the lower 20s
by Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Sun Dec 4 2016

No major impacts aviation wise through this afternoon. Tonight
wind shear will be a factor as the lower level winds are expected
to pick up out of the southwest with a low level jet moving in.
Winds will stay breezy through the morning on Monday ahead of a
cold front which will move in and switch the winds by late
afternoon tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  51  29  53  23 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  51  29  54  22 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  50  29  58  21 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  51  28  56  23 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  49  29  52  24 /   0   0   0   0
P28  54  28  55  29 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Tatro



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