Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 160008

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
608 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 318 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017

The main forecast concern through Friday is the temperatures.
Upper level ridging will continue to build in until a wave moves
through mid-day Friday. West and southwesterly winds tomorrow will
allow temperatures to soar. Highs are expected in the upper 60s
and low 70s. Records at Grand Island and Hastings are in jeopardy.
Please see the climate section for details on the records. The
next upper wave will move through Friday during the afternoon,
causing a front to move through...but it will not amount to
much...dry and slightly cooler. Lows tonight and Thursday night
will be in the 30s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 318 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017

The main forecast concern in the long term is the chance for
rain/isolated thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday. The upper
level system that is expected to move through on Friday will
slowly exit to the east but another system is on its toes. This
system is currently expected to enter the CONUS along the southern CA/Baja,
Mexico coast on Saturday night and move eastward. There are
discrepancies among the guidance with the GFS/ECMWF keeping the
main energy tracking southward across Texas while the Canadian
lifts much of the energy northward into the Central Plains. The
GFS/EMCWF have less chances for precip than the Canadian, but a
blend of the guidance yields the chance for rain from Sunday night
through Monday. There is even a small chance for thunder with a
very small amount of elevated instability Sunday night into Monday
morning. Confidence with the precip chances with this system are
medium due to the discrepancies...expect the overall evolution to
change. Otherwise the forecast is dry and warm.

High temperatures through the extended are generally in the 60s,
which is nearly 20 degrees above normal for this time of year.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 607 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017

VFR conditions are expected to continue with clear to mostly clear
skies. The wind will generally vary from southwest to west through
the next 24 hours and will be fairly light.


Issued at 318 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017

Records for February 16th and 17th for Grand Island and Hastings

February 16th Records
Grand Island.....73 degrees in 1921
Hastings.........69 degrees in 1981

February 17th Records
Grand Island.....71 degrees in 1981 & 1970
Hastings.........74 degrees in 1981




SHORT TERM...Billings Wright
LONG TERM...Billings Wright
CLIMATE...Billings Wright is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.