Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 131000
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
400 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 350 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2017

Tricky forecast this morning as fog/stratus develops and moves in
from the south. Models differ a bit, but I tended to like the RAP
that kept the fog around a bit longer this morning as sun angle is
lower in November. Issued a Dense Fog Advisory for our KS counties
where stratus/clouds failed to move in/develop as soon as earlier
though, allowing these areas to develop more fog. Temperatures
should be mild.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 350 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2017

Forecast is largely on track from previous forecasts as mid-week
quasi-zonal flow gives way to a major trough toward late week,
only it is trending a bit later now and all POPs, albeit low are
pushed to Friday night. Tuesday still looks like the warmest day
of the week, but clouds could play a role here and have backed off
slightly from previous forecasts, with highs closer to around 60
for most, but maybe some mid 60s in our west. Still mild for mid-
November for the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Monday)
Issued at 1147 PM CST Sun Nov 12 2017

Fog and stratus will advect from the south overnight and by Monday
morning will be entrenched for awhile, before clearing out by
mid-day. Models generally agree that this will occur, but there
are differences among solutions, so confidence is not the highest
with what categories we will be in for how long, so changes could
be on the way for late overnight/early Monday morning as more
information comes in.


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Heinlein
LONG TERM...Heinlein
AVIATION...Heinlein



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