Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 262103
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
403 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...A FAST MOVING UPPER CLIPPER SYSTEM
AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COOL RAIN AND THE SLIGHTEST CHANCE OF EVEN
SOME SNOW FLAKES MIXED IN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING IN
OUR FAR NORTHEASTERN ZONES SUCH AS NANCE AND POLK COUNTIES. OUR FAR
SOUTHWESTERN ZONES WILL BE MUCH WARMER AND WINDIER THIS AFTERNOON
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE DANGER IN SOME AREAS SUCH AS FURNAS COUNTY
NEBRASKA AND ROOKS COUNTY KANSAS. SOME BRIEF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
AND/OR SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AT LEAST THE NORTHWESTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING INCLUDING THE TRI-CITIES. THE
RAIN CHANCES WILL QUICKLY END WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNSET AS WE
LOSE DIURNAL HEATING AND THE SYSTEM PUSHES EAST OF OUR FORECAST
AREA.

FRIDAY...THERE WILL BE A ANOTHER WEAK UPPER WAVE RIDING DOWN INTO
THE AREA WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. TEMPERATURES AT 850MB
INDICATE GOOD WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT...BUT NOT UNTIL LATER IN
THE DAY AND MAYBE TOO LATE TO DO MUCH FOR OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
MOST AREAS. OUR FAR WEST SHOULD WARM UP RATHER DECENTLY INTO THE
50S...BUT HAVE COOLED THE TRI CITIES AND EASTERN ZONES INTO THE
40S DUE TO CLOUDS AND THE CHANCE OF LIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS. NOT EXPECTING MUCH OUTSIDE OF TRACE AMOUNTS TO MAYBE
A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF RAIN. AM MORE CONCERNED THAT WE COULD SEE SOME
SNOW MIXED IN FRIDAY MORNING WHEN THE TEMPERATURES ARE COOLER.
HOWEVER...NOT EXPECTING ACCUMULATING SNOW DUE TO BOTH THE WARM
GROUND AND SFC AIR TEMPERATURES THAT WILL LIKELY BE SEVERAL
DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

THIS SECTION WILL BE UPDATED SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 113 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH OUT FOR A FEW SPRINKLES OR NEARBY SHOWERS
AROUND KGRI AND KEAR THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUD BASES ARE RATHER HIGH
AND EXPECT VFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE ALTHOUGH WE MAY APPROACH
MVFR CEILINGS FOR A TIME NEAR SUNSET. THE WIND WILL BE RATHER
VARIABLE WITH A SFC LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WITH A WESTERLY
COMPONENT PRIOR TO THE LOW TRACKING THROUGH AND THEN A
NORTHEASTERLY WIND BEHIND THE LOW BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
THE WIND WILL EVENTUALLY TURN BACK OF THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST BY
FRIDAY MORNING.


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WESELY
AVIATION...WESELY


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