Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 121146

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
646 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 342 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

A nice day is anticipated across the local area today with ample
sunshine...light southerly breezes...and temperatures climbing 5-7
degrees above seasonal norms. Late tonight...a cold front will
approach from the north before eventually stalling across the
southeastern portion of the local area over the upcoming weekend.
Initially...expect little more than a shift in winds late
tonight along with some increased mid/upper level clouds...which
should help keep temperatures a few degrees above this mornings

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 342 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Expect a cold front to be positioned just southeast of the tri-
cities to start the extended periods...meandering across this area
through the first half of the weekend before the longwave trough
to our west helps to push this front further east.
Thereafter...the upper level pattern will become less
active...with ridging over the middle portion of the week likely
helping return temperatures to near or slightly above normal for
several days.

For Friday and Saturday both...the extreme southeastern portion
of the local area is highlighted in a marginal risk for severe
weather near and just southeast of the aforementioned cold front.
While widespread severe weather is not is
conceivable with a little bit of elevated CAPE and good low level
shear near the front...a few storms with marginally severe hail
or strong thunderstorm wind gusts will be possible over the period
from late Friday night through Saturday evening. Outside of
thunderstorm activity...however...expect mainly light
showers...with most locations picking up a quarter of an inch of
rain or less over the upcoming weekend. Thereafter...conditions
will turn dry through the remainder of the extended periods.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 12Z Friday)
Issued at 609 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

VFR conditions are expected to continue through the period with
some passing mid/high level clouds ahead of a cold front expected
just towards the tail end of the TAF period. Ahead of this
front...expect southerly winds of 10-15 KTS through the afternoon
hours. Winds will eventually subside late in the day and become
light and variable just ahead of the aforementioned front around
or after 13/00Z...with winds shifting to the north this evening.




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