Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 202249

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
549 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening and Tonight)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

A cold front is currently spreading east across the area this
afternoon. The front had roughly made it to the Highway 65
corridor early this afternoon. The front will continue to move
east and push out of the area early this evening.

Some drizzle/light rain has occurred along and just behind the
front for a brief period across southeastern Kansas and western
Missouri this morning/early afternoon, and this will remain
possible across the eastern Ozarks as the front moves east.

Temperatures behind the front are in the lower 60s with
temperatures in the 70s ahead of the front. A break in the
clouds has occurred across the eastern Ozarks this afternoon and
temperatures should be able to warm into the middle 70s generally
along and east of Highway 63. Weak instability is developing
across the eastern Ozarks and as the front moves east into these
locations later this afternoon into early this evening a few
showers and thunderstorms will be possible on the front but no
severe weather is expected and this will not be widespread in
nature if anything can develop.

A drier air mass is spreading into the area behind the front and
lows tonight should be able to drop into the middle to upper 40s
with some locations in the falling to near 40 possible out west.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Saturday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

Dry conditions will occur on Sunday as highs warm into the upper
60s to the lower 70s.

Highs will warm into the lower to middle 70s on Monday. An upper
level low will spread south out of the northern Plains Monday
into Tuesday and will bring some chances for scattered showers and
storms to the area Monday into Tuesday. The low will track south
through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday and could result in
some light rain being possible at times into Wednesday. Highs on
Tuesday and Wednesday will remain in the 60s.

Dry conditions with highs back in the 70s will occur Thursday and
Friday as upper level ridging builds over the region. Another
upper level disturbance will then track across the region next
weekend and could bring additional shower and storm chances to
the area.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 544 PM CDT Sat May 20 2017

MVFR ceilings will dissipate by early this evening with VFR then
expected through Sunday. Winds will increase out of the northwest
on Sunday with gusts approaching 20 knots.




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