Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 181124

624 AM CDT Sat Oct 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)

Calm and quiet weather was observed over extreme southeast Kansas
and the Missouri Ozarks early this morning. Temperatures were in
the 40s, under mostly clear skies and light winds.

For today, readings will warm into the 60s as northwest breezes
bring in a slightly cooler air mass. No rainfall is expected today or
anytime this weekend. Height rises will suppress our air mass, as
an upper ridge translates into the nations mid section.

Sunday`s temperatures will be slightly warmer, and quite ideal for
outdoor activities.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)

Our next frontal passage will occur early Monday morning. There
have been some signals for isolated showers to develop during the
day Monday. Some instability will be present in advance of the
frontal passage. Therefore we have continued the slight chances
for showers in the forecast, however, we think most locations will
remain dry.

Conditions will become fantastic through the rest of the
work week as strong ridging aloft brings warm and dry weather
for several days.

The GFS now suggests an anomalous high to become centered across
west Texas toward the end of next week. This could offer an
unusual warming trend for the Ozarks, with temperatures
potentially warming well into the 70s on a daily basis.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 616 AM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: High pressure over Neb will move east
to the mid MS River Valley/western OH River Valley regions by 12z
Sunday. VFR conditions are expected at taf sites. Some very shallow
fog may develop in low lying terrain and near lakes at night, but
chances are too low at taf sites to mention for now.




LONG TERM...Cramer
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