Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 191441

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
941 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Issued at 941 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Only minor changes made with this update. Still looking like the
northwest will struggle to warm today, but already sitting in the
mid 30s. Expecting highs to range from the 40s in the northwest
and far north to 50s elsewhere.

UPDATE Issued at 706 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Increased winds in the RRV a bit for the morning and tweaked sky
cover in the north due to thicker mid/high level clouds.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

One one day warm up is here. Just how warm is the question, but
blends of various short term guidances indicate 50s up thru Grand
Forks and Thief River Falls with near 60 far south...and 40s in
the the snow cover areas Langdon, Cando, Devils Lake.

925 mb winds are strongest 09z-15z today and seeing that with
south-southeast winds in the 15-25 kt range at 08z. Winds will be
strongest early in the day then diminish midday as the surface
front approaches and then turn westerly in E ND mid to late aftn
behind the front. 850 mb thermal ridge is over the area thru 18z
with 925 mb thermal ridge over the area thru 21z. Thus there will
that period where a favored southwest to west wind will occur this
aftn bringing down warmer temps aloft into the red river valley.

Considerable high and mid level cloudiness will be over the area
today...thickest in the north and thickest this morning. No
precipitation expected as airmass blo 700 mb is quite dry.

west-northwest wind tonight with clearing in the north and some
high and mid level moisture south. temps will settle back below
the freezing mark by 12z mon.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Favored west wind Monday along with some sun should allow temps to
reach the 40s in all but areas north of devils lake despite cooler
925-850 mb temps. Main cold air push southward will occur Monday
night and Tuesday as high pressure drops south into Manitoba with
high temps on Tuesday mid 20s north to mid 30s south.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 706 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2017

Main issue thru 18z will be the gusty SSE winds in the RRV and
spreading into TVF/BJI areas. Strongest winds thru 15/16z at
GFK/FAR with wind gusts 30 kts or so. Winds will diminish midday
and afternoon as they turn southwest and then west. VFR for sky




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