Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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591
FXUS63 KDDC 220525
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1225 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...UPDATE TO SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

A dry period can be expected across western Kansas today and tonight
as a weak northwest flow aloft prevails across the Western High Plains
while a westerly downslope flow near the surface further augments a
dry air mass across the Western High Plains. Temperatures will rebound
slightly today as a developing lee side trough across eastern Colorado
and surface high pressure moving southeast across north Texas help
create a west to southwest downslope flow across western Kansas late
in the day. Under mostly sunny skies, this will allow highs to push
the lower 70s(F) late this afternoon. Look for lows down into the
40s(F) tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 238 PM CDT Sat Oct 21 2017

A dry northwest upper flow pattern is shown by ECMWF beginning
Sunday though the end of the regular workweek. This will lead to a
period of fall like highs and lows. An upper trough digging through
the northern plains into the Missouri valley will drive a cold front
across the area Tuesday, bringing colder highs to a windy afternoon
which may not exceed the 60s. Warmer downslope will quickly return
Wednesday, before Thursday yet another stronger cold front returns
with more lasting cooler temperatures extending into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Sun Oct 22 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through early Sunday
evening. Light northwesterly winds will persist over night as
surface high pressure across the Colorado Rockies begins to extend
southeastward into the South Plains. Winds will remain fairly light
while becoming more west-southwesterly during the day Sunday as
surface high pressure continues to edge southeastward into west
Texas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  36  72  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  32  72  42  69 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  33  70  45  69 /  10   0   0   0
LBL  33  72  43  71 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  35  72  46  69 /   0   0   0   0
P28  40  73  45  74 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT /8 AM MDT/ this morning for KSZ030-
043>045-061>063-074>076-084>086.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...JJohnson



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