Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 071707
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1107 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 218 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

Acrtic high pressure will continue to filter into the area
throughout the day leading to north to northwesterly winds. The
pressure gradient will tighten along the KS/CO border this
afternoon in which gusty conditions will be expected. Winds shift
to more of a westerly direction tonight and decrease to below 10
mph. No precipitation is expected throughout the short term with
mostly clear skies today with increasing cloudiness from west to
east tonight. As for temperatures, highs today look to only reach
into the mid to upper 30s with lows tonight in the upper teens to
lower 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 218 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

The dry pattern continues through the long term period with a
large upper level ridge over the western United States and an
upper level long wave trough across the eastern United States.
This will place western Kansas under northwest flow aloft. A few
shortwaves will move down through this flow allowing for
occasional frontal passages. However, only a slight increase in
cloudiness will be anticipated. An elevated fire risk looks likely
Friday with northwest winds of 25-35 mph and RHs falling to around
20 percent. As for temperatures, highs will generally be in the
50s with the exception of Sunday where low 60s will be possible.
Lows will generally be in the mid to upper 20s with the exception
of Sunday night when low 30s will be possible.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1039 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

VFR conditions through the time period. A trough of low pressure
will move through western Kansas around sunrise which will bring
in a cloud deck that will briefly reduce ceilings to around
6,000-10,000 ft at the TAF sites. Winds will start to pick up
behind the trough by 16-17Z out of the northwest sustained 18-23
kts with gusts up to 30 kts and will continue to stay strong
through Friday afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1030 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

Elevated fire danger exists for Friday afternoon for areas
primarily west of a line from Dighton to Cimarron to Meade. A
trough of low pressure will move through western Kansas in the
morning and winds are expected to pick up out of the north by the
afternoon to 25-35 mph with gusts potentially over 40 mph.
Relative humidities in these areas look to fall in the 20-25%
range and with an already dry ground in place will lead to the
risk. An elevated fire danger also appears to exist through the
weekend as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  35  22  53  28 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  38  24  54  27 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  38  26  55  31 /   0  10   0   0
LBL  40  23  55  28 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  34  23  50  29 /   0  10  10   0
P28  37  19  51  28 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Tatro
FIRE WEATHER...Tatro



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