Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KDDC 150447
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1047 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

...Updated aviation section...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1208 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

Dry conditions will prevail through late Wednesday afternoon as upper
level ridging slowly shifts east across the Northern and Central
Rockies into the high plains during the period. A weakening northwest
flow aloft and much drier air in the lower/mid levels filtering
southward into western Kansas will keep precip chances out of the
region during the period. Although a north to northwesterly low
level flow will do little to change the general air mass across
the high plains tonight, decreasing cloud cover is expected,
particularly across west central and central Kansas. This will
likely result in lower temperatures overnight with lows in the
20s(F) by daybreak Wednesday morning. A developing lee side trough
of low pressure across eastern Colorado will create a westerly
downslope flow early Wednesday and more of a southwest flow by
Wednesday afternoon as it strengthens drawing warmer air into the
region. Look for highs well up into the 50s(F) with near 60F
possible in extreme southwest Kansas by late afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 1242 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

A quiet and dry pattern will continue through the early part of the
weekend as upper level ridging moves eastward across the Northern
Plains into the Upper Midwest. Considering a persistent weak flow
aloft and much drier air in the lower/mid levels, precip will remain
absent from the forecast through at least Saturday night. The
ongoing warming trend will continue Thursday as lee side troughing
strengthens across eastern Colorado, resulting in a southwest
flow across western Kansas. This will enhance warm air advection
pushing H85 temperatures well above 10C across the region. Highs
are likely to reach the lower to mid 70S(F) Thursday afternoon.
Although a frontal boundary is still projected to push into
western Kansas early in the weekend, well above normal temperatures
are expected through the early part of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1045 PM CST Tue Feb 14 2017

VFR conditions will prevail today with mostly clear skies. Winds
will generally be from the northwest this morning shifting to the
west by this evening. Wind speeds will be less than 10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  25  57  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  24  58  30  72 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  25  58  31  72 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  24  58  31  72 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  26  56  34  70 /   0   0   0   0
P28  28  56  32  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...JJohnson
AVIATION...Hovorka_42



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.