Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 242215
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
315 PM MST SUN MAY 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS... COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE NORTHLAND TODAY AND MEMORIAL DAY. SHOWERS WILL BE MOST
NUMEROUS FROM FLAGSTAFF NORTH TO THE UTAH BORDER. WARMER AND DRIER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY ONWARD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE EXPANDED IN COVERAGE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA AS WE REMAIN
BETWEEN DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE OVER COLORADO AND A SHORTWAVE
PASSING THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE DECREASING IN COVERAGE. AN UNSTABLE
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL FILL IN TONIGHT BEHIND THE SOUTHERN ARIZONA
SHORTWAVE...KEEPING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST
OVERNIGHT. ON MEMORIAL DAY...A MINOR DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW MOVES THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA EXTENDING THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. CHANCES ON MONDAY WILL FAVOR AREAS FROM THE
MOGOLLON RIM NORTH.

COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND...THOUGH MONDAY`S HIGHS WILL WARM 5 TO 7 DEGREES OVER
TODAY`S HIGHS. A MARKEDLY DRIER AND WARMER PATTERN WILL DEVELOP
TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
RETURN CLOSE TO NORMAL BY MIDWEEK...AND WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH AROUND
03Z THIS EVENING...THEN DECREASE TO ISOLD ACTIVITY THROUGH THE
NIGHT. ISOLD TO WDLY SCT -SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATE MORNING
ON MONDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL...THOUGH MVFR AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS TWO AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE INTERACT OVER THE
STATE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
AGAIN ON MEMORIAL DAY. ON TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO
BUILD OVER ARIZONA WITH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.

.WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
OVER ARIZONA WITH DRIER AND MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS. LIGHTER WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MCS
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...MAS



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