Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 032205
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
305 PM MST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH COLD TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
TO AREAS NORTH OF A LINE FROM THE GRAND CANYON VILLAGE TO FORT
DEFIANCE ON THURSDAY. DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST AREAWIDE FRIDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A WARMING TREND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA
THROUGH TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE REGION.

A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE WILL THEN TRAVERSE THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS
THURSDAY. THE LATEST SHORT-RANGE MODELS ARE KEEPING THE BEST
MOISTURE/DYNAMICS CONFINED TO THE AZ/UT BORDER NORTHWARD. FOR NOW
WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN
COCONINO...NAVAJO...AND APACHE COUNTIES THURSDAY. ANY NEW SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT. THE REST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA SHOULD
ONLY SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER.

BY FRIDAY...ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WILL BUILD IN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
LEADING TO DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS. THE WEST COAST RIDGE IS
THEN FORECAST TO AMPLIFY OVER THE WEEKEND THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO DRY CONDITIONS AND A CONTINUED WARMING
TREND TO TEMPERATURES ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY NEXT
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER
NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...TM
AVIATION...TM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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