Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 270359
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
859 PM MST TUE APR 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY WILL BE
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER WET AND COOL STORM SYSTEM ON THURSDAY. THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT UPDATES THIS
EVENING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /345 PM MST/...A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE WETTER
THAN MONDAY`S AND JUST ABOUT AS COLD, THOUGH NOT NEARLY AS WINDY.
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALSO POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SNOW LEVELS FALL TO AROUND 7000 FEET WITH SOME
LIGHT ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE THE 7500-8000 FT LEVEL.
CONTINUED COOL AND SHOWERY ON FRIDAY WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE IN UNSTABLE NORTHWEST FLOW.

MODELS ARE SHOWING A THIRD LOW MOVING ACROSS ARIZONA THIS WEEKEND
WITH CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND COOL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20G30KTS BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DELIVER DRY AND
BREEZY WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY. FOR THURSDAY, THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF
WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA. LOOK FOR COOL AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. WETTING PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS MAY FALL ON THURSDAY ACROSS COCONINO AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES.
AFTERNOON VENTILATION WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT EACH DAY.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE SERIES OF WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE
TO INVADE NORTHERN ARIZONA. LOOK FOR BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND DAYTIME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WETTING
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE AREA WIDE ON SUNDAY AS A
STRONGER IMPULSE MOVES OVER THE STATE.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD/MAS
AVIATION...KD
FIRE WEATHER...MCCOLLUM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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