Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 180438
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1138 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The 06Z aviation discussion follows....

&&

.AVIATION...
Much like last evening, low clouds are starting to advance
northwest toward KSPS, KOUN, and points northwest. Ceilings will
mainly be in the low MVFR range, but a few hours of IFR will
certainly be possible, and BR may reduce visibilities for a couple
of hours again, much like this past morning. The low clouds will
probably reach close to KGAG and KWWR before being beaten back by
daytime heating, which will also raise ceilings farther southeast.
By midafternoon, conditions should be VFR again throughout central
and western Oklahoma and in the KSPS area. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible from around sunrise Thursday into
early Thursday evening, mainly southeast of I-44. Probabilities
remain too low to include in TAFs.

CmS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 922 PM CDT WED AUG 17 2016/

UPDATE...
Decreased PoPs before 09Z. See short discussion below.

DISCUSSION...
The deeper moisture fetch appears it will remain south of our
region through most of the evening hours...but will likely begin
to nudge into SE OK before sunrise. PoPs have been decreased a bit
to account for this adjustment in timing. Some fog may be possible
north of developing low stratus through the early morning hours,
perhaps across west central OK, but confidence is too low at this
time to mention any in the grids. All updated products have been
sent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  82  70  90 /   0  50  20  30
Hobart OK         70  85  70  91 /   0  30  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  72  84  70  90 /  20  50  30  50
Gage OK           65  89  68  94 /   0  10  10  30
Ponca City OK     70  85  70  91 /   0  20  30  30
Durant OK         73  80  71  88 /  40  70  40  50

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

11/23/23



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