Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 300341 AAB
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1041 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.UPDATE...
ADJUSTED RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT...MAINLY TO
INCREASE THEM OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL GET HEAVIER THROUGH THE NIGHT.

LATEST RADARS INDICATED RAIN DEVELOPING...SLOWLY INCREASING
IN INTENSITY AND EXPANDING IN COVERAGE OVER SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THINK THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE
AS ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASES AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE.
RAINFALL RATES WILL REMAIN LOW FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS AND AS THE AIR MOISTENS. DUE TO THE LACK OF
INSTABILITY...LITTLE...IF ANY...THUNDER WILL OCCUR TONIGHT.

THE HEAVIEST RAIN STILL APPEARS TO BE IN THE 4 AM TO 4 PM TIME
FRAME IN MOST AREAS. CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN FINE SHAPE
AND WILL NOT ALTER.

PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.

MBS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  68  76  65  78 /  90  90  90  30
HOBART OK         66  83  66  81 / 100  70  70  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  70  88  68  83 /  70  30  60  20
GAGE OK           64  74  62  81 / 100  90  50  20
PONCA CITY OK     69  72  64  80 /  60  90  50  20
DURANT OK         72  81  66  78 /  40  50  90  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR OKZ004>007-
     009>012-014>019-022>025-027>029-040.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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