Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 122022
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
322 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST ATTENTION REMAINS FOCUSED ON CURRENT PRECIPITATION
AND OVERNIGHT CONDITIONS.

CURRENTLY... THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT HAS CONTINUED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD
ACROSS TEXAS THIS AFTN. 19Z SFC ANALYSIS PLACES THE PRIMARY WIND
SHIFT WELL INTO SRN TX. A FAIRLY SHALLOW FRONT... AS SEEN FROM
RAP/NAM CROSS SECTIONS... LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ALONG A SWATH FROM W TX THROUGH ERN OK. RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST... AND
MESO GUIDANCE SUPPORT... THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE
AND SLIDE SOUTH AS THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH TOWARD
THE GULF.

BIG CHALLENGE AT THE MOMENT IS TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW
MORNING. A DECENT BROAD EXPANSE OF HIGH PRESSURE ON THE HEELS OF THE
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. HOWEVER... LOW
CLOUDS REMAIN SPREAD FROM OK THROUGH CO/KS/NE. THE 18Z NAM HAS
ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY... SLOWING CLEARING THROUGH SAT MORNING. IN
RESPONSE... TEMPS WILL BE TRICKY ACROSS NRN OK... BUT REMAINED
CONSERVATIVE FOR CENTRAL AND SRN OK AND WRN N TX. LOOK FOR LOWS
OVERNIGHT IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS TEXOMA. FOR TMRW... MADE
MINOR CHANGES FOR HIGHS... WITH UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. OVERALL...
LIGHT WINDS AND MILD TEMPS WILL MAKE FOR A DECENT GAME DAY.

NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP WILL BE MON-TUE AS A SIMILAR SYNOPTIC SET UP
PRESENTS ITSELF. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
PLAINS AS AN H500 TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE CANADIAN/NORTHERN PLAINS.
BEYOND TUE... TEMPS WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF
NEXT WEEK... WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.

JTK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  48  69  57  81 /  20   0  10  10
HOBART OK         48  70  58  80 /  20  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  52  72  60  82 /  30  10  10  10
GAGE OK           41  68  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     44  68  55  81 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         55  73  60  81 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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