Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 231722
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1222 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

NOW THAT THE FOG HAS BURNED OFF...TEMPERATURES REMAIN THE PRIMARY
FORECAST CHALLENGE. DROPPED TEMPS ONE CATEGORY ALONG I80 WHERE
CLOUDS HELD AND MAY KEEP THAT AREA FROM REACHING THE LOWER 70S.
AREAS NORTH AND SOUTH STILL LOOK ON TRACK.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 710 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

EXPANDED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY A BIT ON THE EASTERN EDGE AND
EXTENDED IT AN HOUR LONGER...UNTIL 10 AM. OTHER MINOR CHANGES
TO SKY COVER FOR THIS MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

INITIAL CONCERN WILL BE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF FOG ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING.

DENSE FOG ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED SOUTH
AND EAST AS LOW CLOUDS MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH 12Z.

OTHERWISE...PERIOD LOOKS TO BE DRY AND QUITE MILD AS UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION IN ADVANCE OF ANOTHER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DAYTIME HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

PATTERN BEGINS TO TURN COOLER BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONGER
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. SOME CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE
FRONT MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING
ON TIMING OF MODELS. EURO AND GFS ACTUALLY LOOK TO BE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT THAN PREVIOUS RUN FOR MON-TUE...BUT DIVERGE AGAIN AFTER
THAT WITH GFS MAINTAINING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE EURO
BECOMES ZONAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

MVFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT KLNK BUT SHOULD BECOME VFR BY 19Z.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS AT KOMA/KLNK. AM THINKING THAT THERE IS
SOME FOG POTENTIAL LATER TONIGHT...BUT THAT COULD ALSO BE TEMPERED
BY SLIGHTLY STRONGER BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING...BUT COULD SEE
TEMPORARY MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR AT ALL THREE SITES FROM 07-14Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...DEWALD
SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...DEWALD



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