Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 270826
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
326 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2014

UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND ONTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY. THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THAT IS
CURRENTLY BISECTING THE REGION TO THE SOUTH TODAY WITH BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS COMING IN BEHIND IT. THERE IS AN AREA OF RAIN WELL
BEHIND THE FRONT...THAT COULD STILL AFFECT NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...BUT
HAVE PULLED THE EXISTING POPS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA AS
NEARLY ALL MODELS SUGGEST THAT PRECIP WILL LIKELY NOT MAKE IT TO
INTERSTATE 80. THERE ALSO IS SOME PATCHY FOG EARLY THIS MORNING...
BUT NOT WIDE SPREAD OR THICK ENOUGH TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT THIS
MORNING....EXCEPT NEAR KOFK WHERE IT`S BRIEFLY DENSE. COLDER AIR
WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE AREA TODAY. HIGHS NEAR THE SD/NE BORDER
WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60...WHERE CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES PREVAIL.
THE NE/MO/IA BORDER REGION SHOULD STILL REACH THE LOWER 70S SINCE
THEY WILL SEE SOME SUNSHINE AND ARE STARTING OFF MUCH WARMER THIS
MORNING.

COOL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PREVAIL TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. MOST AREAS SHOULD BE BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE MID/UPPER 50S. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH
LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. THERE SHOULD ALSO
BE SOME STEAM FOG ALONG THE RIVERS TUESDAY NIGHT AS WELL. A SOUTHEAST
FLOW DEVELOPS ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT...WITH SLIGHT
RECOVERY OVER THE READINGS ON TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2014

THE NEXT FRONT ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. THE GFS/ECMWF HAVE BEEN HINTING AT A SMALL CHANCE OF
SHOWERS THE LAST COUPLE OF RUNS IN THE EXTREME NORTHERN FORECAST
AREA...AND MAY NEED TO ADD THAT TO THE FORECAST IF TRENDS CONTINUE.
OTHERWISE...COOLER TEMPS ON EXPECTED BY FRIDAY...THEN A SMALL
RECOVERY TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SMALL CHANCE OF
SHOWERS SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...SHIFTING WINDS
TO THE NORTHWEST. PATCHY FOG MAY OCCUR TOWARD SUNRISE AT KOMA AND
KLNK. SOME MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY...MAINLY BETWEEN 14Z
AND 21Z. RAIN CHANCES LOOKED BEST FOR KOFK...SO DID NOT MENTION IN
THE TAFS FOR KOMA OR KLNK AT THIS TIME. MIXING WILL INCREASE BY
EARLY AFTN... AND WINDS MAY GUST OVER 22 KNOTS. WINDS WILL DROP
BACK UNDER 10 KNOTS MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...DEWALD
AVIATION...MILLER



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