Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 270441 AAA
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1141 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL MARK THE ONLY POTENTIAL FOR
PRECIPITATION DURING THIS FORECAST. THIS FRONT ENTERS THE COUNTY
WARNING AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD BE THROUGH BY MONDAY
EVENING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE MEAGER...BUT THE POTENTIAL
INCREASES AS YOU GET CLOSER TO THE NEBRASKA/SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER.
GIVEN THAT DEEPER MOISTURE IS SITUATED IN THIS AREA AND AREAS
FURTHER NORTH...DECIDED TO CONTINUE LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY.
WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED IF AREAS SOUTH OF THE BORDER GET NOTHING.

AIRMASS TEMPERATURES DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL BE TRANSITIONING
TO AN OVERALL COOLER REGIME. IN REALITY THIS IS A CHANGE TO A MORE
SEASONABLE/NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

DRY WEATHER LOOKS TO DOMINATE THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST UNDER A LARGE AREA OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE. IN FACT
MUCH OF THE CONUS IS ABSENT OF MOISTURE EXCEPT FOR THE WEST COAST
AND NEW ENGLAND AREAS. SOME BRIEF WARM UPS COULD OCCUR IN OUR
REGION BUT OVERALL THE FORECAST IS FOR NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT SUN OCT 26 2014

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT...SHIFTING WINDS
TO THE NORTHWEST. PATCHY FOG MAY OCCUR TOWARD SUNRISE AT KOMA AND
KLNK. SOME MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY...MAINLY BETWEEN 14Z
AND 21Z. RAIN CHANCES LOOKED BEST FOR KOFK...SO DID NOT MENTION IN
THE TAFS FOR KOMA OR KLNK AT THIS TIME. MIXING WILL INCREASE BY
EARLY AFTN... AND WINDS MAY GUST OVER 22 KNOTS. WINDS WILL DROP
BACK UNDER 10 KNOTS MONDAY EVENING.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PEARSON
LONG TERM...PEARSON
AVIATION...MILLER



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