000
FXUS63 KOAX 152333
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
633 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM AS
ALTERNATING UPPER TROUGHS AND RIDGES PROPAGATE ACROSS THE REGION
DURING THE PERIOD.

BROAD SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN MONTANA AT 19Z WILL MOVE TO
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN CONTINUE EAST
INTO NORTHEAST IOWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL
FOLLOW BEHIND THE LOW AND SWEEP ACROSS NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS MOVING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. MODELS CONTINUE THEIR PREVIOUS
TREND OF KEEPING MOST OF THE PRECIP ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THIS
SYSTEM AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

LOOKS MAINLY DRY FOR THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS
LATEST SOLUTIONS KEEP SOUTHERN PLAINS SURFACE WAVE AND ASSOCIATED
PRECIP FURTHER SOUTH AS UPPER WAVE AMPLIFIES OVER THE REGION THEN
MOVES RAPIDLY EAST. SOME CHANCE POPS FOR THE AREA ON FRIDAY AS
WARM ADVECTION ZONE DEVELOPS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING FROM EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
WESTERN IOWA. WARMER TEMPERATURES ALSO RETURN TO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY AS RIDGING INCREASES OVER THE PLAINS AHEAD OF THE NEXT
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WESTERN CONUS.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

WEEKEND PERIOD LOOKS TO BE RATHER ACTIVE WEATHERWISE AS COMPLEX
SPLIT WAVE SYSTEM MOVES INTO AND ACROSS THE REGION. THIS IS
FOLLOWED BY MORE RIDGING EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MUCH WARMER
TEMPERATURES INDICATED.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 630 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2014

WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERN THIS TAF CYCLE. SOUTH
WINDS AT 14 TO 20 KTS SUSTAINED WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH
A LOW LEVEL JET OF 50 TO 60KTS DEVELOPING BY 03Z AND CONTINUING
THROUGH 12Z. A COLD FRONT WILL TURN THE WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
THEN THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY. DID NOT INCLUDE AT THIS
TIME...HOWEVER FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR
INSTABILITY SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY