914
FXUS63 KOAX 270824
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
324 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Thursday)
Issued at 221 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

Quiet weather will continue over the next several days with the
next chance for any precipitation holding off until next week.

Latest water vapor imagery in addition to RAP 500mb analysis shows
a large upper level low spinning over the northern Great Lakes
with a building ridge over the western states. This upper low is
progged to continue to drop south and rotate into the Ohio River
Valley by late Wednesday. A strong vort lobe rotating around the
back side of the low will aid in pushing a westward moving cold
front into the CWA keep highs in the 60s for Wednesday. Otherwise,
the western states upper ridge axis will build east through the
remainder of the week, extending over the Central Plains by early
Thursday. Return flow will be slow to set up across the forecast
area which should keep Thursday`s highs in the upper 60s to lower
70s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 221 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

Quiet conditions will continue into the weekend with temperatures
near normal for the most part. A more active pattern will take
shape as we head into next week as mid/upper level flow becomes
southwesterly ahead of next approaching trough. Southerly low
level flow should bring increasing moisture into the region with
showers and thunderstorms possible into mid week in association
with several impulses ejecting out ahead of the main trough. A
cold front is progged to dive through the area sometime late in
day 7.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS for KOFK...KLNK and KOMA.)
Issued at 948 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF cycle, with clear
skies and unrestricted visibility. Light west to northwest winds
tonight will become northwesterly at around 10-14kt on Tuesday
afternoon, then weaken again after sunset.


&&

.OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kern
LONG TERM...Kern
AVIATION...Mayes